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Post by anthonyd46 on Jul 6, 2024 16:27:07 GMT -5
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Post by inger on Jul 6, 2024 16:45:57 GMT -5
Game outcome predictions are 50-50…just like a coin toss. Guaranteed 2 outs/2 strikes bottom 9th Yanks up by 2 last night all predictions were a Yankee win. Pre-game predictions re hitters performance are nothing more than slightly educated guesses at best. People who make money off such things don't really believe that, because money lines on baseball games are never even (or 105-105, however you like). That's what money lines in all sports, and runs lines in baseball, point spreads in bacsketball and football, and goals lines in hockey are for. If they didn't set spreads, everyone would bet the favorite every game and clean up big in the long-term, and the gambling sites and sports casinos would be out of business very quickly. My friend Mike used to get on my case for making firm predicttions and resisting counter-argument. But that was almost 40 years ago. I've learned to add caveats to my predictions all the time. Well, almost all the time. And it didn't keep Mike from betting the spreads and the money lines, acknowledging the truth of the information they represent. Yes, you never know, which is why betting is a thing. But most games aren't 50-50. There's a difference between taking the Heisenberg Uncertainty view that you don't really know until the game is played and over and not realizing money could be made easily if every game were a 50-50 betting propositin on-line and in sports books. Which is why the odds are almost never 50-50. I won’t bet on things I can’t control. I have bet on myself before, such as standing over a putt for $60. And by the way, I made it… To get on what someone else will or wont do is foolish, especially with odds-makers between you and the goal… I’m not much of a gambler though. Just not my thing… |
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Post by qwik3457bb on Jul 6, 2024 16:49:54 GMT -5
Ok, notifications have been checked and responded to.
One last thing to do...
Rangers lead the Rays 2-0 in the 7th in Texas.
Here's one for the you-never-know every-game-is-50/50 side: A's annihilating the O's 14-1, bottom 4 in Oakland.
Jays lead the Mariners, 2-0, bottom 5 in Seattle.
If the scores hold...IF...The Yanks get back to 2 games behind the O's, 4 1/2 ahead of the Red Sox, 10 ahead of the Rays and stay 14 ahead of the Jays.
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Post by anthonyd46 on Jul 6, 2024 16:50:38 GMT -5
People who make money off such things don't really believe that, because money lines on baseball games are never even (or 105-105, however you like). That's what money lines in all sports, and runs lines in baseball, point spreads in bacsketball and football, and goals lines in hockey are for. If they didn't set spreads, everyone would bet the favorite every game and clean up big in the long-term, and the gambling sites and sports casinos would be out of business very quickly. My friend Mike used to get on my case for making firm predicttions and resisting counter-argument. But that was almost 40 years ago. I've learned to add caveats to my predictions all the time. Well, almost all the time. And it didn't keep Mike from betting the spreads and the money lines, acknowledging the truth of the information they represent. Yes, you never know, which is why betting is a thing. But most games aren't 50-50. There's a difference between taking the Heisenberg Uncertainty view that you don't really know until the game is played and over and not realizing money could be made easily if every game were a 50-50 betting propositin on-line and in sports books. Which is why the odds are almost never 50-50. I won’t bet on things I can’t control. I have bet on myself before, such as standing over a putt for $60. And by the way, I made it… To get on what someone else will or wont do is foolish, especially with odds-makers between you and the goal… I’m not much of a gambler though. Just not my thing… I'm submitting an annoymus tip to DraftKings to put inger at -250 odds for the forum golf tournament odds. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk |
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Post by qwik3457bb on Jul 6, 2024 16:53:59 GMT -5
People who make money off such things don't really believe that, because money lines on baseball games are never even (or 105-105, however you like). That's what money lines in all sports, and runs lines in baseball, point spreads in bacsketball and football, and goals lines in hockey are for. If they didn't set spreads, everyone would bet the favorite every game and clean up big in the long-term, and the gambling sites and sports casinos would be out of business very quickly. My friend Mike used to get on my case for making firm predicttions and resisting counter-argument. But that was almost 40 years ago. I've learned to add caveats to my predictions all the time. Well, almost all the time. And it didn't keep Mike from betting the spreads and the money lines, acknowledging the truth of the information they represent. Yes, you never know, which is why betting is a thing. But most games aren't 50-50. There's a difference between taking the Heisenberg Uncertainty view that you don't really know until the game is played and over and not realizing money could be made easily if every game were a 50-50 betting propositin on-line and in sports books. Which is why the odds are almost never 50-50. I won’t bet on things I can’t control. I have bet on myself before, such as standing over a putt for $60. And by the way, I made it… To get on what someone else will or wont do is foolish, especially with odds-makers between you and the goal… I’m not much of a gambler though. Just not my thing… I don't bet a lot on sports, but I do play the big money multi-state lotteries, even though, as a former math teacher, I know how horrendously long the odds of winning the jackpot are. Not all that much, I don't make a 2nd career out of it. Just enough to regret my foolishness on a weekly basis. |
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Post by anthonyd46 on Jul 6, 2024 16:58:01 GMT -5
I like this  Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk |
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Post by azbob643 on Jul 6, 2024 17:15:01 GMT -5
Game outcome predictions are 50-50…just like a coin toss. Guaranteed 2 outs/2 strikes bottom 9th Yanks up by 2 last night all predictions were a Yankee win. Pre-game predictions re hitters performance are nothing more than slightly educated guesses at best. People who make money off such things don't really believe that, because money lines on baseball games are never even (or 105-105, however you like). That's what money lines in all sports, and runs lines in baseball, point spreads in bacsketball and football, and goals lines in hockey are for. If they didn't set spreads, everyone would bet the favorite every game and clean up big in the long-term, and the gambling sites and sports casinos would be out of business very quickly. My friend Mike used to get on my case for making firm predicttions and resisting counter-argument. But that was almost 40 years ago. I've learned to add caveats to my predictions all the time. Well, almost all the time. And it didn't keep Mike from betting the spreads and the money lines, acknowledging the truth of the information they represent. Yes, you never know, which is why betting is a thing. But most games aren't 50-50. There's a difference between taking the Heisenberg Uncertainty view that you don't really know until the game is played and over and not realizing money could be made easily if every game were a 50-50 betting propositin on-line and in sports books. Which is why the odds are almost never 50-50. Wasn’t talking about betting. With nothing on the line there’s nothing to gain and may need to eat some crow by confidently predicting the outcome of a game. |
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Post by inger on Jul 6, 2024 18:00:52 GMT -5
I won’t bet on things I can’t control. I have bet on myself before, such as standing over a putt for $60. And by the way, I made it… To get on what someone else will or wont do is foolish, especially with odds-makers between you and the goal… I’m not much of a gambler though. Just not my thing… I'm submitting an annoymus tip to DraftKings to put inger at -250 odds for the forum golf tournament odds. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Might be a bad move. I still haven’t played for about a decade and a half or so… |
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Post by pimmersj on Jul 6, 2024 18:52:13 GMT -5
Hopefully today is something they can build on.
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Post by ypaterson on Jul 6, 2024 20:49:38 GMT -5
Hopefully today is something they can build on. They need to start winning series again...they can start with a win on Sunday. |
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Post by inger on Jul 6, 2024 23:16:01 GMT -5
Hopefully today is something they can build on. They need to start winning series again...they can start with a win on Sunday. Most excellent idea… |
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Post by JEGnj on Jul 7, 2024 8:35:10 GMT -5
I see I missed a great game from Ben Rice.
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Post by bumper on Jul 7, 2024 9:03:37 GMT -5
uh yeah ...
calling a 3-1 game after 2 1/2 is well ...
Another thing...you can argue, but "probably" is not really a "call", either. You want call it a call, that's OK with me. But I rarely make "calls" and even when I lean one way and it happens, I don't call it a "call", as anyone who spent time with me in the chat room at the old place will confirm. hmm ok "probably" is not really a "call". that's a fine line ... yeah they've been going through rough times, but pretty sure judge, soto, boone, the players, paulie, girardi, the bat boy (and the sox for that matter) didn't think the sox "probably" had a "won" game, 3-1 heading into the bottom of the third. they certainly weren't ready to put another L in the loss column. not calling you one but that's the type of thing a less knowledgeable fan would say. |
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Post by Cult of Ken Clay on Jul 7, 2024 10:03:44 GMT -5
I see I missed a great game from Ben Rice. He's the new Greg Bird. Hopefully he enjoys better health. |
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Post by qimqam on Jul 7, 2024 10:09:37 GMT -5
What I want to know is ... How does that idiot Boone bat a rookie leadoff ?!?!?!
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