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Post by inger on Aug 30, 2019 13:49:52 GMT -5
CC Sabathia / 5-8; 4.99 / 6’ 6” 300 LH
Since June CC has rarely been effective, posting a 2-7; 6.11 record with a BA against within a point or two of .300 each month with an ugly slash of .301/361.566. This could be about his knee, but time is running out to find a reason to employ him as a post-season starter. He has held LHH to a .205 BA, but RHH are hitting .287 and seldom getting jammed badly by his heavily featured cutter. Batters that have attacked CC’s first pitch have hit .312 with a .490 SLG.
He’s tending to have difficulties in the first and second innings, and it’s well documented that he can struggle to get through the fifth inning and or third time through a batting order. In high leverage spots his slash has been .314/.362/.542 (and a .381 average since June).
If there is a silver lining for CC, his home and road splits strongly favor Yankee stadium. Here are some home/road splits. WHIP 0.99/1.41; BA; .221/.312. His base hit frequency per AB is near 50% higher on the road, and his ERA variance is about doubled on the road due to that.
Cutter, 89. Uses 43% of the time. Allows fly balls. The goal is to make them ofc the barrel and weak. It’s not fooling hitters all the time anymore, and is a so-so cutter.
Slider, 80. Very effective vs. LHH, especially when he can get ahead in the count. It has good sweep and two plane movement. It does get hit in the air more often than not, but only when he misses with it is that a problem. Mixed in about 30%. Will back door RHH.
Sinker, 89. Straight with minimal sink. Hit in the air, 14% usage.
Change, 83. 11% of his mix, this pitch has more cut than his cutter and more sink than the sinker. Maybe getting under-utilized.
4S FB, 90. You forgot he had one? So did he. We seldom see this any more. It has a bit of sink, and even some swing and miss, but... the extreme fly ball tendency has resulted in some untimely HR. Probably best used when no one is on base, but this year, if you see it twice in the same game, he’s using it more than usual.
It appears that CC could wind up being our 7th or 8th best starter by the post-season. If he deserves a role at all it’s probably as LOOGY. I fear he’ll be starting at some point. I hope it’s at home, with a very short leash.
Bye, big man. It’s time for you to move on to the next stage of life...
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Post by utahyank on Aug 30, 2019 15:26:08 GMT -5
CC Sabathia / 5-8; 4.99 / 6’ 6” 300 LH Since June CC has rarely been effective, posting a 2-7; 6.11 record with a BA against within a point or two of .300 each month with an ugly slash of .301/361.566. This could be about his knee, but time is running out to find a reason to employ him as a post-season starter. He has held LHH to a .205 BA, but RHH are hitting .287 and seldom getting jammed badly by his heavily featured cutter. Batters that have attacked CC’s first pitch have hit .312 with a .490 SLG. He’s tending to have difficulties in the first and second innings, and it’s well documented that he can struggle to get through the fifth inning and or third time through a batting order. In high leverage spots his slash has been .314/.362/.542 (and a .381 average since June). If there is a silver lining for CC, his home and road splits strongly favor Yankee stadium. Here are some home/road splits. WHIP 0.99/1.41; BA; .221/.312. His base hit frequency per AB is near 50% higher on the road, and his ERA variance is about doubled on the road due to that. Cutter, 89. Uses 43% of the time. Allows fly balls. The goal is to make them ofc the barrel and weak. It’s not fooling hitters all the time anymore, and is a so-so cutter. Slider, 80. Very effective vs. LHH, especially when he can get ahead in the count. It has good sweep and two plane movement. It does get hit in the air more often than not, but only when he misses with it is that a problem. Mixed in about 30%. Will back door RHH. Sinker, 89. Straight with minimal sink. Hit in the air, 14% usage. Change, 83. 11% of his mix, this pitch has more cut than his cutter and more sink than the sinker. Maybe getting under-utilized. 4S FB, 90. You forgot he had one? So did he. We seldom see this any more. It has a bit of sink, and even some swing and miss, but... the extreme fly ball tendency has resulted in some untimely HR. Probably best used when no one is on base, but this year, if you see it twice in the same game, he’s using it more than usual. It appears that CC could wind up being our 7th or 8th best starter by the post-season. If he deserves a role at all it’s probably as LOOGY. I fear he’ll be starting at some point. I hope it’s at home, with a very short leash. Bye, big man. It’s time for you to move on to the next stage of life... Amen to that.....really important that Severino gets back and is effective or one of Happ or CC will probably have to start....I would rather go with Green as the opener, if it comes to that... |
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Post by inger on Aug 30, 2019 16:30:52 GMT -5
I’m hoping we get Loaisiga and Montgomery both post-season ready. My hope for Deivi Garcia to make the post-season roster is fading as we near the deadline to get him on the MLB roster... but he could be a real shocker for our opponents in short stints...
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Post by kaybli on Aug 30, 2019 16:36:55 GMT -5
CC Sabathia / 5-8; 4.99 / 6’ 6” 300 LH Since June CC has rarely been effective, posting a 2-7; 6.11 record with a BA against within a point or two of .300 each month with an ugly slash of .301/361.566. This could be about his knee, but time is running out to find a reason to employ him as a post-season starter. He has held LHH to a .205 BA, but RHH are hitting .287 and seldom getting jammed badly by his heavily featured cutter. Batters that have attacked CC’s first pitch have hit .312 with a .490 SLG. He’s tending to have difficulties in the first and second innings, and it’s well documented that he can struggle to get through the fifth inning and or third time through a batting order. In high leverage spots his slash has been .314/.362/.542 (and a .381 average since June). If there is a silver lining for CC, his home and road splits strongly favor Yankee stadium. Here are some home/road splits. WHIP 0.99/1.41; BA; .221/.312. His base hit frequency per AB is near 50% higher on the road, and his ERA variance is about doubled on the road due to that. Cutter, 89. Uses 43% of the time. Allows fly balls. The goal is to make them ofc the barrel and weak. It’s not fooling hitters all the time anymore, and is a so-so cutter. Slider, 80. Very effective vs. LHH, especially when he can get ahead in the count. It has good sweep and two plane movement. It does get hit in the air more often than not, but only when he misses with it is that a problem. Mixed in about 30%. Will back door RHH. Sinker, 89. Straight with minimal sink. Hit in the air, 14% usage. Change, 83. 11% of his mix, this pitch has more cut than his cutter and more sink than the sinker. Maybe getting under-utilized. 4S FB, 90. You forgot he had one? So did he. We seldom see this any more. It has a bit of sink, and even some swing and miss, but... the extreme fly ball tendency has resulted in some untimely HR. Probably best used when no one is on base, but this year, if you see it twice in the same game, he’s using it more than usual. It appears that CC could wind up being our 7th or 8th best starter by the post-season. If he deserves a role at all it’s probably as LOOGY. I fear he’ll be starting at some point. I hope it’s at home, with a very short leash. Bye, big man. It’s time for you to move on to the next stage of life... Yes! Love your scouting reports and now finally our own guys! |
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Post by inger on Sept 2, 2019 15:14:18 GMT -5
Masahiro Tanaka 6’ 3” RH / 10-7; 4.47 age 30
It’s been a roller coaster season for Tanaka. He lost his splitter grip early this season and early on he showed signs of fearing contact by walking three batters in a game three times in a row, which for him is a lot. As a result of those circumstances and the twin Boston Massacres he’s suffered this season, his stats are deceptively bad.
While we can’t pretend those two massacres didn’t happen, if you take those two starts out of the equation Tanaka’s ERA would be 3.53. Tanaka also suffered a horrendous July as the result of the trip to England with an ERA for the month of 8.77. I’ve noticed that several sources have used that to report that he’s faltered badly “since the All-Star break” because they’re using the numbers out of context. In August his ERA was 3.31. So there!
Tanaka has worked to a fine 3.26 home ERA this season. He has allowed LHH to accumulate an OPS+ of .814, largely due to their .497 SLG.. From the perspective of high leverage situations he holds his own in regard to BA and OBP, but does tend to serve up more HR in those situations.
He has a high first inning ERA (6.41) also harmed greatly by the two unfortunate games vs. Boston, so we can’t make too much of that. It’s very hard to hide 13 earned runs in 1.6 innings.
A couple statistical oddities jump out. Thirteen of the 24 HR Tanaka has allowed have come between his 51st and 75th pitch of the game. Also, while batters swinging at his first pitch have only managed a .224 opposition BA, they’ve also clubbed 16 doubles and 11 HR in 209 PA. Batters that have not swung at the first pitch have hit 21 doubles and 13 HR, but in 449 PA.
Tanaka has an extremely ground ball centric attack. With his strikeouts are down this season, infield play has been quite important to him. With the strong Yankee defense behind him usually helping him out, it seems he’s also had his share of misplays behind him as well this season.
In his repertoire report, I’m ignoring full season factors a bit in favor of recent trends.
Slider, 83. Short glove side movement and a little depth. Usage at 35%, But is starting to reduce in favor of his splitter now. Gets a mixture of fly balls and ground balls. Hangers get stung hard.
Splitter, 87. It’s been re-shaped a bit this season to a more high-contact shape with arm side fade. Using the pitch 34% of the time and is is getting good ground ball results.
4S FB, 92. Average velocity, arm side run. When it fails to get inside on RHH they can tag it well. 28% usage.
Sinker, 91. Some natural sink, fly ball tendencies. 3% usage.
Curve, 76. Slow, high contact pitch only used 2% of the time has fly ball tendencies.
Cutter, 80. Only 1% usage. Has short cut and it’s an extreme ground ball pitch...
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Post by kaybli on Sept 2, 2019 15:23:52 GMT -5
Masahiro Tanaka 6’ 3” RH / 10-7; 4.47 age 30 It’s been a roller coaster season for Tanaka. He lost his splitter grip early this season and early on he showed signs of fearing contact by walking three batters in a game three times in a row, which for him is a lot. As a result of those circumstances and the twin Boston Massacres he’s suffered this season, his stats are deceptively bad. While we can’t pretend those two massacres didn’t happen, if you take those two starts out of the equation Tanaka’s ERA would be 3.53. Tanaka also suffered a horrendous July as the result of the trip to England with an ERA for the month of 8.77. I’ve noticed that several sources have used that to report that he’s faltered badly “since the All-Star break” because they’re using the numbers out of context. In August his ERA was 3.31. So there! Tanaka has worked to a fine 3.26 home ERA this season. He has allowed LHH to accumulate an OPS+ of .814, largely due to their .497 SLG.. From the perspective of high leverage situations he holds his own in regard to BA and OBP, but does tend to serve up more HR in those situations. He has a high first inning ERA (6.41) also harmed greatly by the two unfortunate games vs. Boston, so we can’t make too much of that. It’s very hard to hide 13 earned runs in 1.6 innings. A couple statistical oddities jump out. Thirteen of the 24 HR Tanaka has allowed have come between his 51st and 75th pitch of the game. Also, while batters swinging at his first pitch have only managed a .224 opposition BA, they’ve also clubbed 16 doubles and 11 HR in 209 PA. Batters that have not swung at the first pitch have hit 21 doubles and 13 HR, but in 449 PA. Tanaka has an extremely ground ball centric attack. With his strikeouts are down this season, infield play has been quite important to him. With the strong Yankee defense behind him usually helping him out, it seems he’s also had his share of misplays behind him as well this season. In his repertoire report, I’m ignoring full season factors a bit in favor of recent trends. Slider, 83. Short glove side movement and a little depth. Usage at 35%, But is starting to reduce in favor of his splitter now. Gets a mixture of fly balls and ground balls. Hangers get stung hard. Splitter, 87. It’s been re-shaped a bit this season to a more high-contact shape with arm side fade. Using the pitch 34% of the time and is is getting good ground ball results. 4S FB, 92. Average velocity, arm side run. When it fails to get inside on RHH they can tag it well. 28% usage. Sinker, 91. Some natural sink, fly ball tendencies. 3% usage. Curve, 76. Slow, high contact pitch only used 2% of the time has fly ball tendencies. Cutter, 80. Only 1% usage. Has short cut and it’s an extreme ground ball pitch... Top notch scouting report!
すばらしい偵察レポート！
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Post by inger on Sept 13, 2019 0:24:07 GMT -5
James Paxton / 6’ 4”; 235 Left hander
4S FB, 96 swing and miss. Will take above zone for chases. 45-60% usage
Cutter. 88 heavy sink, swing and miss sting cut action. 5-10% usage
Knuckle curve, 81.Hard curve with swing and miss and slight Fly ball tendencies. 12-6 motion. 15%-30% of mix.
Sinker, 95. Swings and misses with fly ball tendencies. 10-25 % of mix
Change up, 86. Swing and miss some cut. 1-2%
Reverse BA splits, but RHH. Have hit 20 of 22 HR vs. Paxton this year, as well as 68 of 76 for his career.
He’s performed well in YS3. Slight Ground ball tendency, though some of lesser used pitches are hit airborne...
Comes at hitters hard and will change pitch mix to suit opponent. Keeps the long game under reasonable control. Has lost the plate a few times this season, which is not a career tendency...Has had some 1st inning struggles this season, but seems to be over coming that...
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Post by kaybli on Sept 13, 2019 0:51:58 GMT -5
James Paxton / 6’ 4”; 235 Left hander 4S FB, 96 swing and miss. Will take above zone for chases. 45-60% usage Cutter. 88 heavy sink, swing and miss sting cut action. 5-10% usage Knuckle curve, 81.Hard curve with swing and miss and slight Fly ball tendencies. 12-6 motion. 15%-30% of mix. Sinker, 95. Swings and misses with fly ball tendencies. 10-25 % of mix Change up, 86. Swing and miss some cut. 1-2% Reverse BA splits, but RHH. Have hit 20 of 22 HR vs. Paxton this year, as well as 68 of 76 for his career. He’s performed well in YS3. Slight Ground ball tendency, though some of lesser used pitches are hit airborne... Comes at hitters hard and will change pitch mix to suit opponent. Keeps the long game under reasonable control. Has lost the plate a few times this season, which is not a career tendency...Has had some 1st inning struggles this season, but seems to be over coming that... Love the scouting reports on our own pitchers! |
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Post by inger on Sept 18, 2019 11:42:29 GMT -5
J A Happ 12-8; 5.07, 6’5” 205 LH age 36
He’s been overly villainized for his performance this year. Too many thought we were getting the near-invincible pitcher we acquired in 2018. That was an unreasonable expectation. Happ’s career stat lines resemble a roller coaster ride with season of 12-4, 6-15, 20-4, 17-6, and lots of ups, downs, twists, and turns. His ERA + numbers have hit highs in the 140’s and lows in 80’s.
Perhaps his greatest talent of all is the comeback. When the hitters catch up to him, he finds a way to rise back to the top. He also saves his best for last. There must be a phone booth somewhere near the calendar where Happ enters as a mild-mannered journeyman pitcher and emerges as tough weapon down the stretch. His best month by far is September, with a sub-3.00 ERA. No other month comes close. That’s why he was so good down the stretch in an otherwise so-so season in 2018. We do finally have that pitcher.
In Happ’s last 3 starts, all in September, he’s gone 3-0, allowing 2 runs off 10 hits in 17 innings to a 1.06 ERA with a slash of .172/.273/.259.
Before September, it would appear Happ has pitched about on par with his career except for having an elevated HR allowed ratio, like many pitchers in MLB this season. His lifetime HR rate of 1.2/9 is dwarfed by this season’s rate of 2.0/9. He has allowed a lot more hard contact vs. RHH this season, with 27 of the 33 HR allowed and 22 of his 25 doubles allowed vs. RHH.
Through all of his struggles, Happ has toughened up in high leverage situations, often minimizing damage that could have been worse. The team record on days when Happ has pitched is 20-9.
4S, 92. Spots well, with good swing and miss. Will elevate. It’s a straight fastball. When he misses with his location, it can be hit out of the park. He uses this pitch about 65% of the time, though recent starts have seen a downturn in that percentage.
He mixes in the following pitches.
Sinker, 89. Is an extreme ground ball pitch. Has natural sink. Not particularly impressive, but results are very good.
Slider, 85. High contact rate as the pitch has little depth. Mostly a way of showing the hitter something different than anything that will fool him.
Change up, 85. Has a bit of late sink. Between the sink and off speed with good arm action, produces lots of grounders.
Curve, 82. It’s a hard curve with little 12-6 depth that can hang and is an extreme fly ball pitch.
One additional item of concern with the playoffs looming. Happ has allowed 14 of his 33 HR and 11 of the 25 doubles against him in the first or second inning.
If he continues his September magic, he may be tough to leave off the playoff roster. But where does he fit? ...
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Post by greatfatness on Sept 18, 2019 13:25:50 GMT -5
J A Happ 12-8; 5.07, 6’5” 205 LH age 36 He’s been overly villainized for his performance this year. Too many thought we were getting the near-invincible pitcher we acquired in 2018. That was an unreasonable expectation. Happ’s career stat lines resemble a roller coaster ride with season of 12-4, 6-15, 20-4, 17-6, and lots of ups, downs, twists, and turns. His ERA + numbers have hit highs in the 140’s and lows in 80’s. Perhaps his greatest talent of all is the comeback. When the hitters catch up to him, he finds a way to rise back to the top. He also saves his best for last. There must be a phone booth somewhere near the calendar where Happ enters as a mild-mannered journeyman pitcher and emerges as tough weapon down the stretch. His best month by far is September, with a sub-3.00 ERA. No other month comes close. That’s why he was so good down the stretch in an otherwise so-so season in 2018. We do finally have that pitcher. In Happ’s last 3 starts, all in September, he’s gone 3-0, allowing 2 runs off 10 hits in 17 innings to a 1.06 ERA with a slash of .172/.273/.259. Before September, it would appear Happ has pitched about on par with his career except for having an elevated HR allowed ratio, like many pitchers in MLB this season. His lifetime HR rate of 1.2/9 is dwarfed by this season’s rate of 2.0/9. He has allowed a lot more hard contact vs. RHH this season, with 27 of the 33 HR allowed and 22 of his 25 doubles allowed vs. RHH. Through all of his struggles, Happ has toughened up in high leverage situations, often minimizing damage that could have been worse. The team record on days when Happ has pitched is 20-9. 4S, 92. Spots well, with good swing and miss. Will elevate. It’s a straight fastball. When he misses with his location, it can be hit out of the park. He uses this pitch about 65% of the time, though recent starts have seen a downturn in that percentage. He mixes in the following pitches. Sinker, 89. Is an extreme ground ball pitch. Has natural sink. Not particularly impressive, but results are very good. Slider, 85. High contact rate as the pitch has little depth. Mostly a way of showing the hitter something different than anything that will fool him. Change up, 85. Has a bit of late sink. Between the sink and off speed with good arm action, produces lots of grounders. Curve, 82. It’s a hard curve with little 12-6 depth that can hang and is an extreme fly ball pitch. One additional item of concern with the playoffs looming. Happ has allowed 14 of his 33 HR and 11 of the 25 doubles against him in the first or second inning. If he continues his September magic, he may be tough to leave off the playoff roster. But where does he fit? ... I read separately this week that (as you noted) they’re 20-9 in his starts. I would not have expected that. |
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Post by inger on Sept 18, 2019 14:09:39 GMT -5
J A Happ 12-8; 5.07, 6’5” 205 LH age 36 He’s been overly villainized for his performance this year. Too many thought we were getting the near-invincible pitcher we acquired in 2018. That was an unreasonable expectation. Happ’s career stat lines resemble a roller coaster ride with season of 12-4, 6-15, 20-4, 17-6, and lots of ups, downs, twists, and turns. His ERA + numbers have hit highs in the 140’s and lows in 80’s. Perhaps his greatest talent of all is the comeback. When the hitters catch up to him, he finds a way to rise back to the top. He also saves his best for last. There must be a phone booth somewhere near the calendar where Happ enters as a mild-mannered journeyman pitcher and emerges as tough weapon down the stretch. His best month by far is September, with a sub-3.00 ERA. No other month comes close. That’s why he was so good down the stretch in an otherwise so-so season in 2018. We do finally have that pitcher. In Happ’s last 3 starts, all in September, he’s gone 3-0, allowing 2 runs off 10 hits in 17 innings to a 1.06 ERA with a slash of .172/.273/.259. Before September, it would appear Happ has pitched about on par with his career except for having an elevated HR allowed ratio, like many pitchers in MLB this season. His lifetime HR rate of 1.2/9 is dwarfed by this season’s rate of 2.0/9. He has allowed a lot more hard contact vs. RHH this season, with 27 of the 33 HR allowed and 22 of his 25 doubles allowed vs. RHH. Through all of his struggles, Happ has toughened up in high leverage situations, often minimizing damage that could have been worse. The team record on days when Happ has pitched is 20-9. 4S, 92. Spots well, with good swing and miss. Will elevate. It’s a straight fastball. When he misses with his location, it can be hit out of the park. He uses this pitch about 65% of the time, though recent starts have seen a downturn in that percentage. He mixes in the following pitches. Sinker, 89. Is an extreme ground ball pitch. Has natural sink. Not particularly impressive, but results are very good. Slider, 85. High contact rate as the pitch has little depth. Mostly a way of showing the hitter something different than anything that will fool him. Change up, 85. Has a bit of late sink. Between the sink and off speed with good arm action, produces lots of grounders. Curve, 82. It’s a hard curve with little 12-6 depth that can hang and is an extreme fly ball pitch. One additional item of concern with the playoffs looming. Happ has allowed 14 of his 33 HR and 11 of the 25 doubles against him in the first or second inning. If he continues his September magic, he may be tough to leave off the playoff roster. But where does he fit? ... I read separately this week that (as you noted) they’re 20-9 in his starts. I would not have expected that. Me neither. Must have been some thrilling comebacks!... |
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Post by inger on Sept 20, 2019 20:03:51 GMT -5
No need to do one of these for Domingo German...
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Post by kaybli on Sept 20, 2019 20:06:00 GMT -5
No need to do one of these for Domingo German...  |
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Post by inger on Sept 23, 2019 22:42:31 GMT -5
Luis Severino 6’ 2”; 218 Right hander
The hard throwing right hander has a dynamic fastball that he’s used 57% of the time in his 9 innings in 2019. His career track in recent seasons prior has been to utilize the pitch about 45% to 52% of the time. The pitch has deep ride into the strike zone and is often used at the top of the zone, where it tops out at 99-100 MPH. He more typically sits at 96-97. He’s been about one mile lower this far in in return from shoulder surgery. He works the inside and outside edges of the plate well when he has his best command, seemingly at 97-98 MPH. He often hits the higher velocities at the top of and above the strike zone where few hitters can catch up to it.
His slider has been around 85 MPH in 2019, perhaps down an MPH from 2018. He’s used it a bit less so far (25%), but will likely soon be back to his norm of 33% or so. The pitch has exceptional depth amd glove side run. It’s only an average swing and miss pitch, but the combination of depth and run makes it hard to barrel. He can back foot right handers with it or make it drop down and away to lefties, where they often flail out of the zone.
His very hard change up comes in at 88, even 90 MPH. His usage of the pitch varies between 10 and 20%. It’s his best ground ball pitch by far.
He’s still prone to some fly ball tendencies, but is getting more grounders with maturity. He has pretty even platoon splits, as well as home and away splits, though he has allowed 37 of his career 60 HR at home. He is most HR vulnerable in the 1st and 5th innings, though the fifth inning issues tend to be on days where his pitch count swells into the seventies plus by that point in the game...
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Post by kaybli on Sept 23, 2019 23:26:48 GMT -5
Luis Severino 6’ 2”; 218 Right hander The hard throwing right hander has a dynamic fastball that he’s used 57% of the time in his 9 innings in 2019. His career track in recent seasons prior has been to utilize the pitch about 45% to 52% of the time. The pitch has deep ride into the strike zone and is often used at the top of the zone, where it tops out at 99-100 MPH. He more typically sits at 96-97. He’s been about one mile lower this far in in return from shoulder surgery. He works the inside and outside edges of the plate well when he has his best command, seemingly at 97-98 MPH. He often hits the higher velocities at the top of and above the strike zone where few hitters can catch up to it. His slider has been around 85 MPH in 2019, perhaps down an MPH from 2018. He’s used it a bit less so far (25%), but will likely soon be back to his norm of 33% or so. The pitch has exceptional depth amd glove side run. It’s only an average swing and miss pitch, but the combination of depth and run makes it hard to barrel. He can back foot right handers with it or make it drop down and away to lefties, where they often flail out of the zone. His very hard change up comes in at 88, even 90 MPH. His usage of the pitch varies between 10 and 20%. It’s his best ground ball pitch by far. He’s still prone to some fly ball tendencies, but is getting more grounders with maturity. He has pretty even platoon splits, as well as home and away splits, though he has allowed 37 of his career 60 HR at home. He is most HR vulnerable in the 1st and 5th innings, though the fifth inning issues tend to be on days where his pitch count swells into the seventies plus by that point in the game... |
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