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Post by inger on Sept 4, 2019 15:55:19 GMT -5
Garcia, a meager...
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Post by inger on Sept 6, 2019 8:37:17 GMT -5
6/9 vs. Boston Red Sox / Jhoulys Chacin. 3-10; 5.79
Short version? Name is an eye chart, zip code is an area code. He’s pitched 86(?) innings, allowed 99 hits, 39 walks and 19 HR. I don’t think much more needs to be said. If we don’t have eight hits against this chump by the fifth inning, we deserve to lose.
Slider, low eighties. Slow and sweeping, he throws it about 50% of the time.
Sinker, 90. 30% of the time. Doesn’t get many grounders at all.
4Seam, 90. As recently as this spring it was his bread and butter pitch, now usage is down to 10%, as it goes out much faster than it comes in.
Has a new splitter in the low to mid eighties and a change that he throws 5% of the time each.
He’s 31 years old. Seems to have hit the end of the road awfully quick. Right handed is 6’1” and 215, looks chunkier last I saw him. One time stalwart in Colorado that continued to pitch well for Milwaukee. If he doesn’t find something that works better than what he’s doing now the buzzards will start picking him in Boston.
He has shut a few games down here and there this season. The Yankees? I don’t think so...
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Post by kaybli on Sept 6, 2019 9:43:29 GMT -5
6/9 vs. Boston Red Sox / Jhoulys Chacin. 3-10; 5.79 Short version? Name is an eye chart, zip code is an area code. He’s pitched 86(?) innings, allowed 99 hits, 39 walks and 19 HR. I don’t think much more needs to be said. If we don’t have eight hits against this chump by the fifth inning, we deserve to lose. Slider, low eighties. Slow and sweeping, he throws it about 50% of the time. Sinker, 90. 30% of the time. Doesn’t get many grounders at all. 4Seam, 90. As recently as this spring it was his bread and butter pitch, now usage is down to 10%, as it goes out much faster than it comes in. Has a new splitter in the low to mid eighties and a change that he throws 5% of the time each. He’s 31 years old. Seems to have hit the end of the road awfully quick. Right handed is 6’1” and 215, looks chunkier last I saw him. One time stalwart in Colorado that continued to pitch well for Milwaukee. If he doesn’t find something that works better than what he’s doing now the buzzards will start picking him in Boston. He has shut a few games down here and there this season. The Yankees? I don’t think so... Good scouting report, but don't get too cocky. This is baseball, anything can happen. We've been shutdown by scrubs before. I don't foresee it, but who knows. |
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Post by inger on Sept 8, 2019 9:28:26 GMT -5
6/29 vs. Red Sox / Rick Porcello Still in his prime, the 30 year old Porcello seems unlikely to ever duplicate the 22-4 season he posted in 2016. He’s about a league average pitcher. He throws five pitches, but none dominate. He fills the strike zone with a lot of average velocity (93 mph) four seamers that do have a higher spin rate than most, yet feature little movement. His sinker is a bit slower, has an obvious tail, but does not sink a lot, therefore it does not always do a good job of enticing grounders. The sliders seldom get missed and often hit in the air. The curve has glove side movement, is sometimes under 80 mph, and gets hit in the air. The change up gets some arm side fade, but is almost never a swing and miss pitch. In today’s game Porcello is not at all considered a power pitcher. He is a flyball hurler who has to utilize the large part of the park to succeed. With the short alleys and short CF dimensions in England, he’ll need to try figure out what to do. A change in game plan might be in order. Does he have the weaponry for that? Porcello tends to get hit and get in trouble early in games, then settles down and finds his rhythm through the middle innings. He begins to weaken after 80/90 pitches. As you might expect, with his mostly ineffective change up, left handlers hit him consistently. Right handed hitters find the seats vs. him more frequently, however... BUMPED for inger. Another bump for Porcello. Since allowing 3 runs in 6 innings in the 19-3 rout of the Yankees on 7/25, Porcello has continued to underwhelm this season by going 3-4 in 7 starts with a 5.89 ERA, allowing 9 HR along the way. At some point he has to cave against us... |
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Post by inger on Sept 9, 2019 16:57:38 GMT -5
Bump He’s back again! Eduardo has now won his last 7 decisions and has pitched out of his gourd in July at 5-0; 2.03. He continues to be hit much harder by LHH this season, so we can hope for a hot Tauchman in the lineup along with Didi. I doubt we’d see anything as creative as a Mike Ford call up to play first base in this game, but it might be worth a try. Soon I suppose we’ll find out if Eduardo has matured into a top pitcher, or if he’s simply been hot... Bump. Working on update, be back soon |
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Post by inger on Sept 9, 2019 17:03:49 GMT -5
Bump He’s back again! Eduardo has now won his last 7 decisions and has pitched out of his gourd in July at 5-0; 2.03. He continues to be hit much harder by LHH this season, so we can hope for a hot Tauchman in the lineup along with Didi. I doubt we’d see anything as creative as a Mike Ford call up to play first base in this game, but it might be worth a try. Soon I suppose we’ll find out if Eduardo has matured into a top pitcher, or if he’s simply been hot... Bump. Working on update, be back soon He’s getting better as the year goes on. Splits are about equal with the lone exception that the lefties have a higher HR ratio, and by quite a lot. His velocity has maintained throughout the season. He’s been throwing fewer cutters and more sinkers as he’s rolled to a 9-1 record with a strong 2.58 ERA in his past 13 starts. Looks like the Red Sox may be finding the new ace they seem to need... |
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Post by inger on Sept 9, 2019 23:53:07 GMT -5
9/10 vs. Detroit Tigers / Edwin Jackson 3-9; 9.16
6’2”, 215 pound veteran 35 year old right hander is baseball’s ultimate journeyman. The MLB record holder in # of teams played for with 14 (including 2 stints with two different teams, including his current employers, the Detroit Tigers.
Jackson was pretty much born with average talent, and not much has really changed about that. It’s hard to figure quite why his career is where it is. From the early days when he reached MLB at 19 he’s been traded, released, farmed out, picked up and just about any kind of treatment you can imagine. From 2003-2012 he compiled a record of 70-71; 4.40 (ERA + 98).
Since then he’s posted a mark of 37-61; 5.37 (ERA + 68). This despite the fact that he still throws at a top end of 95 MPH, just like in those younger days. One thing that has never happened for Jackson is a single day on the DL. He swears he’s never even iced his shoulder in his career.
Even his no-hitter speaks to his determination. On that day he walked 7 batters in the first 3 innings and had already thrown 82 pitches, yet he battled through a 149-pitch day to enjoy his triumphant day.
This year, the numbers speak for themselves. ERA, 9.16. BA against for RHH, .390. LHH are above .300, too. Earlier this season, while with Oakland, Jackson worked 3.1 innings vs. the Yanks. He allowed 6 runs, but only 2 were earned as he also walked two and fanned three before leaving the game.
The stuff is still average. It’s the results that suffer, often because he allows nearly 30% line drives on which he allows a BA near to .700. This a sign of poor command in the zone.
Cutter, 92. He throws this 25-40% of the time and gets fair GB results.
Slider, 86. About 20% of his mix, is an average slider with a bit of two plane movement.
4Seam Fastball, 94. Just a bit of sink. Used to be his bread and butter pitch, now mixes about equally at 10% with the best two pitches below.
Sinker, 94. Gets some swing and miss. Fly balls predominate.
Change, 87. Some swing and miss and some grounders.
Curve, 78. Not used often, a little 12-6, gets hit in the air.
Sinker, 94. Gets some swing and mix.
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Post by inger on Sept 11, 2019 21:42:38 GMT -5
9/12/19 vs. Tigers / Matthew Boyd / 8-10; 4.57
6’3”; 234 lefty was the darling of the trade market for many, but Detroit’s asking price kept him from being moved. There are two sides to the 28-year-old. One side of the story is a young strikeout pitcher who looked like a staff ace earlier in the season. The other side is a pitcher with two good pitches that can’t find the third pitch he needs to keep the ball in the park, as he’s allowed an AL-leading 36 HR this season. He’d faded badly of late, with an August ERA of 7.16. A month during which he’s allowed 14 HR.
Boyd has also allowed a massive 23 HR at home this season. RHH and LHH hit about the equally well against Boyd.
4S fastball, 92. Good movement and some sink on a strong swing and miss pitch that he located well and throws about 50% of the time.
Slider, 80 is about 30% of his repertoire. It’s a good one that he gets swings and misses with.Has exceptional depth.
The other three pitches are all pitches that he will throw between 5-10% of the time, though a bit close to 5% with his sinker. All are fly ball pitches.
Curve, 74, has some cut
Change, 79, some glove side run and a bit of swing and miss.
Sink, 90. Is a flyball pitch that is nothing special.
Boyd didn’t throw any sinkers at all in his last start. The change up has some promise, but he can’t find consistency with it. The curve is nothing special. As a starter, he can’t continue to throw two pitches for 80% of his plan. It’s too easy to guess what’s coming. Yet, the other three pitches he’s offering are gopher bait.
He throws strikes, but lately too many have been hittable with hard hit tendencies. I admit I saw him as a tempting trade target, but when Gleyber Torres was named as a desired trade piece, I lost interest...
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Post by inger on Sept 11, 2019 23:38:36 GMT -5
9/12/2019 GAME 2 vs. Detroit Tigers / Spencer Turnbull 3-14; 4.68
The 6’3” right hander leads the AL in losses and in hit batsmen with 14 each. Left handed batters do especially well against him with a slash of .303/.384/.469 and so far this season is 0-9 at home, and his last two starts have been short, allowing 10 runs off 12 hits and 6 BB in just 6 innings.
While that seems to be a lot of bad news, there’s some good, as well. At 26, he’s still young and 2019 is his first extended MLB experience. He gets a lot of ground ball outs, as well as a fair number of strike outs. He has a nice assortment of pitches that he needs to learn to command better. The pitches are effective in stretches now, and if he can harness the stuff he has he can be very tough. He throws everything hard.
4S FB, 94.sink with arm side movement. Lots of grounders and swing and miss on a pitch that he’ll throw 40-50% of the time.
Sinker, 94. Extreme ground ball results, throws about 20% of the time.
Slider, 87 has two plane movement and is gets some grounders. Another 20% of his plan.
Curve, 80. has a sharp downward bite, gets swings and misses.
Change, 86 with arm side fade is not used often (2%)
Cutter, 92. Has potential with swing and miss, ground ball action, but he’s abandoned the pitch lately. Is that because he doesn’t command it? Given his less than stellar control, that’s as good a guess as any.
To be honest, Turnbull in game 2 concerns me more than Boyd in game one. Nasty stuff, we haven’t seen him yet...
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Post by kaybli on Sept 12, 2019 3:00:27 GMT -5
Good stuff like always inger!
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Post by inger on Sept 12, 2019 9:12:10 GMT -5
Good stuff like always inger! I wish I could generate true scouting reports, with situational tendencies. Most of the information is available to do so, but my time is limited. It’s amazing how much info can be found these days if have the time and the desire to dig. These are just general reports that go over the surface a bit. But thanks for the compliments... |
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Post by inger on Sept 12, 2019 22:14:26 GMT -5
9/13 vs. Toronto Blue Jays / Anthony Kay 0-0; 3.18 / 6’ 218 Left Hander
Twenty four year old lefty was acquired from the Mets in the Marcus Stroman trade. His promotion is premature as the Jays attempt to find help for their rotation for 2020. He is far from a complete product.
He throws from a 3/4 arm slot on a short, chunky frame that is soft in the middle and non-athletic. He likely projects as a back of rotation starter, swingman, or future multi-inning reliever.
For now:
4S FB, 90-94 with cut. Can command to low glove side in stretches, but loses command and control at times.
2S FB, 90-94 with run. Can command to low armside in stretches, but loses command and control at times.
Curve, 77-79. Has a good feel for spin and can change grips to give lefties a one plane sweeper and righties more of a 12-6 look. This looks to be his best pitch right now when he knows where it’s going.
Change up, 80-84. Will throw in a few good ones, but will spike or pull this pitch a bit too often. Will often drop below the strike zone.
Control/Command/pitchability: Relies heavily on mixing speeds with no true plus pitch. Battles walks in stretches, also pulls everything together for an inning or two at a time.
His lack of control and lack of experience should make rough going for him against better line ups for now...
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Post by inger on Sept 13, 2019 22:43:54 GMT -5
8/10/19 vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jacob Waguespack 3-1; 4.00 Are the Blue Jays just making up names for pitchers and putting somebody on the mound? This is the first I’ve ever heard of this guy. He’s a big fellow at 6’6” and 235. Intimidation rules... until you see the pitches. He was a non-descript reliever at Mississippi, had so-so numbers in his minor league days, but here he is, with a non-descript repertoire, and recently he’s been getting impressive results, posting two consecutive 6 inning starts and allowing a total of one run on seven hits between them. 4S FB at 93 has little movement but has been getting lots of not only swings and misses, but ground ball action as well. Since he throws it about 40% of the time, one wonders how he’s doing this. The 90 MPH curter he throws about 20% of the time appears to be his best offering with plenty of cut and good sink. Soft ground ball contact has been plentiful. He throws his 80 MPH 12-6 curve about 15% of the time. It’s usually a hittable flyball strike. He can start it high in the zone or lower. It’s seldom bounced, but he will sometimes entice weak contact with it below the zone. There is a 90 MPH sinker that has less sink than his cutter and only a tiny bit of armside movement. It’s flyball tendencies seem to belie the intent of a sinker (as does the lack of true sink), but oh well. Change up is at 84, the surprising cut on this pitch along with good swing and miss screams loudly “use me more”. So far it’s a 5% utilization pitch, so don’t tell him, please. It does have some scary backspin. Perhaps there is concern about the long flyball tendency when contact is made. There is a slider that for some reason I’m not getting a speed nor any other usage information on. It’s a slider, and given the rest of the velos it’s reasonable to put it in the mid 80’s. I see from his scatter charts on Baseball Savant that it’s almost always placed in a location where he appears to be trying to back door lefties with it and is often down and away with it. That seems weird for a RH pitcher. Could he be trying to front door RHH? Again weird. Tease lefties into swinging with itvwhen it’s down and a away? Unreasonably weird now. He hasn’t been around long, so everything is still fairly tiny samples, only a total of 36 innings. This far he’s been much tougher for lefties, allowing them only 11 hits and no HR in 16.2 innings against 50 outs if you will). Right handers have 26 hits in 19.1 innings (58 outs) and have struck 4 HR. He starts ofc games strong for a couple of innings, with trouble more apt to start popping up in the third, fourth, or fifth, though he avoided those troubles in his two most recent starts. There isn’t much ammunition for this young man, even with an arsenal of six pitches. He probably will get better when he puts a couple of those offerings on the scrap heap and learns to do whatever it is he does best, but his 4.00 ERA is back this far by a 4.13 FIP due to a lower than MLB average walk rate. For me, I’d suggest more cutters and change ups with a usage reduction of his 4-seamer and I’m mystified by the slider at this point. The curve has some potential but seems scary when it’s up in the zone... All I know is what’s in this report, which is not like watching him pitch...not at all... Bump. Since last facing the Yanks and allowing 3 runs in 3.2 innings on Aug. 10, Waguespack has started 5 times, with a 1-4 record and a 4.94 ERA. He’s pitched 23 innings, not bad for 5 starts in the current environment... He appears to be settling into his starting role in Toronto... |
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Post by inger on Sept 13, 2019 22:48:05 GMT -5
Update: He’s been using the sinker a bit more, the cutter less. He’s dropped about 1 MPH off his early season velocities across the board, although he’s getting a bit more separation with his change up now, perhaps making it more effective...
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Post by inger on Sept 14, 2019 22:47:33 GMT -5
09/15/2019 vs. Toronto Blue Jays / TJ Zeuch 0-0; 5.40
The 6’ 7” 225 right-hander is twenty four years old. He’s making his second MLB start and third appearance of the season and of his MLB career. To date, he has allowed 5 runs in 8.1 innings pitched, both fanning and walking 5.
He has a loose and compact arm motion from a 3/4 slot, coming from the 3B side of the rubber. He pitches from a full wind up, repeating his mechanics well for a relatively young pitcher with so much height.
FB is 92-94. Adjusts his grip for directional movement, seemingly aiming for the middle of the plate, and allowing the various movement to cut or run the ball to the outer edges with late movement. He tends to elevate this pitch on occasion, leading to hard contact, but overall the pitch also has good late sink, so gets lots of ground balls. An excellent pitch that can be troublesome for hitters.
Curve, 76-78 MPH. 12-6 movement is less than most will almost no horizontal movement. It becomes more effective due to the change of speed and consistent arm slot.
Slider, 82-83. Has mostly late vertical movement but he keeps it down very well and gets plenty of ground balls with it.
Change up, 84-85. Does not have good feel for this pitch, but will need it to move above a 4th to 5th starter presence. So far has only shown a tendency in minors to throw this pitch to LHH. He telegraphs the pitch noticeably and it often is well out of the hitting zone.
Overall, he controls his FB and the slider extremely well, and the curve is usually also around the zone. He doesn’t miss bats, if he gets that change up working and maybe finds a bit more bite on his curve he could be more of a front end of the rotation starter. Overall, there is a lot to like here. A pitcher to watch, and capable of some shut down work if he can get the ground balls hit to the right place at the right time.
Watch for elevation. That could be his downfall in any given game. He’d do best to stick to what he does best against better hitting teams and experiment in side sessions and against weaker hitters in low leverage situations for now...
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