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Post by inger on Sept 28, 2020 21:52:57 GMT -5
Like most power hitters, Judge could erupt at any moment, or he could continue to struggle at the plate. As usual you are making a mountain out of a small sample... As is often the case in analysis we only have a sample to work from. Most analyst use what they have. Once N >= 30 the central limit kicks in Which in baseball is called a small sample. More often than not the career trend is more reliable... |
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Post by noetsi on Sept 28, 2020 21:57:07 GMT -5
I don't agree. Baseball is not trend stationary. There is no reverting to the mean. You analyze the most recent window. Just because Randy Johnson was a great pitcher before he came to the Yankees did not mean he would be afterward. Analyzing his career caused them to make exactly the mistake you suggest inger.
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Post by inger on Sept 28, 2020 22:06:17 GMT -5
I don't agree. Baseball is not trend stationary. There is no reverting to the mean. You analyze the most recent window. Just because Randy Johnson was a great pitcher before he came to the Yankees did not mean he would be afterward. Analyzing his career caused them to make exactly the mistake you suggest inger. I think they knew Johnson was no longer an ACE. The point is that you can’t assume Judge to be a powerless wimp just a few games after a return from injury that occurred after a start to the season that showed he was hitting for power exceptionally well just a couple of months prior. You can assume he might get hurt at any moment though... |
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Post by noetsi on Sept 28, 2020 22:08:58 GMT -5
Which is what I do assume. He has not recovered from his injury. Or Stanton.
Johnson was awful on the Yankees.
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Post by noetsi on Sept 28, 2020 22:10:32 GMT -5
Inger you took me over the 7 k limit on your own. I owe my success at reaching it so soon primarily to you  |
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Post by noetsi on Sept 28, 2020 22:21:54 GMT -5
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Post by inger on Sept 28, 2020 22:24:21 GMT -5
Inger you took me over the 7 k limit on your own. I owe my success at reaching it so soon primarily to you Thank you, thank you, thank you. It pleases me to help the little people that need need me so much... |
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Post by noetsi on Sept 28, 2020 22:28:14 GMT -5
I won't ever catch your post totals
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Post by kaybli on Sept 28, 2020 22:28:14 GMT -5
This tweet did not show up on my screen. We're stuck listening to the ESPN Sunday night crew for the Yankees/Indians series. I thought we were done with these clowns.  |
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Post by chiyankee on Sept 28, 2020 22:31:29 GMT -5
Which is what I do assume. He has not recovered from his injury. Or Stanton. Johnson was awful on the Yankees. Johnson was better with the Yankees than you give him credit for. He won 17 games both years he was with the team, pitching over 200 innings both seasons. He was a lot better his first year, the second he hurt his back and his overall performance suffered. |
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Post by noetsi on Sept 28, 2020 22:31:39 GMT -5
Oh sure kaybli now that inger and I did 500 post you arrive to hog our glory
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Post by kaybli on Sept 28, 2020 22:32:17 GMT -5
Oh sure kaybli now that inger and I did 500 post you arrive to hog our glory LOL, I'm only 500 or so behind inger. He used to be like 1,500 ahead. |
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Post by inger on Sept 28, 2020 22:32:47 GMT -5
I won't ever catch your post totals I think I’m four years older than you. If actuarial tables hold true, you should catch me within two to three years after my death. Keep posting... I don’t even know how many posts I have... |
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Post by kaybli on Sept 28, 2020 22:34:16 GMT -5
I won't ever catch your post totals I think I’m four years older than you. If actuarial tables hold true, you should catch me within two to three years after my death. Keep posting... I don’t even know how many posts I have... It says under your non-existent user picture. |
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Post by noetsi on Sept 28, 2020 22:34:27 GMT -5
I had 100,000 post on the old fanhome so you never know |
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