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Post by themartian on Jan 31, 2024 21:33:42 GMT -5
Why didn't they let Gleyber play there in ST then? Why didn't they make a switch when they were out of contention? That's evidence they aren't thinking about moving him there. I've yet to see any evidence that would show they are planning it. Because they dont have a 2nd baseman to replace him They ended up using DJLM and Peraza at 3b and could have used either of them at 2b. Peraza in particular would have been a pretty big improvement at 2b defensively.
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Post by rizzuto on Jan 31, 2024 21:36:35 GMT -5
When Gleyber was traded to the Yankees, I predicted he would eventually become a second baseman. I was definitely in the minority on this opinion. His physique and heavy-legged type of movement were my main concerns. Moving to shortstop for the New York Yankees is not easy for anyone, even if it is their best defensive position. I did not want to see that move. As Martian mentioned, Gleyber's lack of quality defense at shortstop appeared to affect him mentally with the bat. Though we have no way to prove this empirically, I agree with the assessment. Trading Gleyber in his walk year will not bring much of a return. The time to have traded Gleyber was after 2020, when his clock still had many revolutions prior to free agency. Moreover, Gleyber is the third best offensive threat on this Yankee team. For a team that struggled to score runs last season, why trade him now when the addition of Soto just lengthened the lineup? Removing Gleyber's bat at this point will simply dilute the offensive gains made from acquiring Soto. At this point, the best defensive shortstop on the Yankees is Peraza, but he has not proven to be able to hit fastballs with consistency (the exact opposite of what young players are supposed to be able to do). To me, Volpe could be a gold glove second baseman, as well as one at shortstop, but he does not have the arm strength for third base. Peraza has a rifle for an arm that can play anywhere on the diamond. I am not sold on Gleyber's arm at third, but all scouting reports (thanks, Inger) indicate that his arm strength is above average. I agree with Bob that if Gleyber was confined to a position that required reaction and arm strength rather than focus and decision making, third might be able to fit Gleyber better as he ages. By the way, as someone who has played all around the diamond, third base was the easiest for me to play. Shortstop was the most fun, though. First base takes a ton of footwork to play it like Anthony Rizzo, much less like Keith Hernandez and Donny Mattingly - the two best at the position in my opinion. You can hide a player like Luke Voit at first, but he costs you lots of extra bases and base hits and steals...and forget about any continuity plays from a defender playing behind the runner. I wonder when the scouting reports came out on Gleyber's arm strength? The latest ratings they keep on baseball savant would seem to suggest it's very poor at this point in his career. Consider: baseballsavant.mlb.com/leaderboard/arm-strengthbaseballsavant.mlb.com/savant-player/gleyber-torres-650402?stats=statcast-r-fielding-mlbThey are looking only at the top 5% of throws by MPH, so they are measuring throws that are in situations where the fielder is going all-out, ie only close plays. Easy plays with casual lobs/flips are being excluded. Gleyber averages 75.9 MPH on his top throws and rates an 8 out of 100 in arm strength, and that is compared to other 2b who aren't known for their throwing. If you compare him to 3b, he would be the second worst in the league. Compare his ratings to Andres Gimenez: baseballsavant.mlb.com/savant-player/andres-gimenez-665926?stats=statcast-r-hitting-mlbHe throws at an average of 85.9 MPH and his arm strength rating is an 85.9. There are a bunch of 3b who average close to 90 MPH and a few over that. It's a pretty huge difference to go from 75 to 90, just imagine any pitcher trying to make it in the majors throwing 75 MPH fastballs. Gleyber's arm strength was doubtful to my eye test, but then Inger shared some ratings on here a few weeks ago purporting otherwise. You may be correct that they were from Gleyber's earlier years in the minor leagues. That 75.9 MPH is not what you want at third. I also saw that DJ LeMahieu was at 84.3, not bad at this point in his career.
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Post by azbob643 on Jan 31, 2024 21:46:59 GMT -5
Gleyber's arm strength was doubtful to my eye test, but then Inger shared some ratings on here a few weeks ago purporting otherwise. You may be correct that they were from Gleyber's earlier years in the minor leagues. That 75.9 MPH is not what you want at third. Gleyber has the tendency to sidearm "flip" his throws from 2B to 1B, regardless of the situation. This obviously affects the speed of the throw. I'm sure he'd use a traditional overhand throw from 3B. I find it hard to believe he'd go from "plus-plus arm strength" to below average in a few years.
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Post by rizzuto on Jan 31, 2024 21:51:31 GMT -5
Gleyber's arm strength was doubtful to my eye test, but then Inger shared some ratings on here a few weeks ago purporting otherwise. You may be correct that they were from Gleyber's earlier years in the minor leagues. That 75.9 MPH is not what you want at third. Gleyber has the tendency to sidearm "flip" his throws from 2B to 1B, regardless of the situation. This obviously affects the speed of the throw. I'm sure he'd use a traditional overhand throw from 3B. I find it hard to believe he'd go from "plus-plus arm strength" to below average in a few years. I see Gleyber had a max at 82, so that makes a difference, too. Provides more credence to your point that there is likely more left in the chamber when needing to throw full bore from deep at third.
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Post by themartian on Jan 31, 2024 21:59:11 GMT -5
Gleyber has the tendency to sidearm "flip" his throws from 2B to 1B, regardless of the situation. This obviously affects the speed of the throw. I'm sure he'd use a traditional overhand throw from 3B. I find it hard to believe he'd go from "plus-plus arm strength" to below average in a few years. I see Gleyber had a max at 82, so that makes a difference, too. Provides more credence to your point that there is likely more left in the chamber when needing to throw full bore from deep at third. The 75.9 MPH average is derived only from top 5% of his throws by speed, and I don't think he flips the ball 95% of the time. The top 5% would on be the plays where he's throwing as hard as he can / the close calls. Even if he could raise that average to say 80 MPH at 3b, it would still be amongst the lowest speed in the league compared to other 3b. I guess the "good" news is that his range is also very lowly rated, so that could be hidden more at 3b than 2b.
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Post by inger on Jan 31, 2024 22:02:14 GMT -5
Yeah. I tired of it and just dropped out… And the thread topic is about who should lead off. I enjoy a good off topic journey as much as anyone, but enough is enough… No need or requirement for anyone not interested to follow the direction the thread has taken... It’s truly not the direction. The road is worn and full of potholes. I like to enjoy the journey…
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Post by inger on Jan 31, 2024 22:05:25 GMT -5
Simple...Gleyber is the better bat and Peraza is the better glove, which you want up the middle. I spent a couple of hours floating around the internet trying to get a good idea of the value the SABR community assigns to each position. There are some variations, but I think it is fair to say that the value attahced to defense at 2b and 3b is very comparable. As pointed out at Fangraphs: (https://blogs.fangraphs.com/position-adjustments/) Tom Tango has developed the most commonly accepted set of positional adjustments out there right now, based on historical data of how players perform when they move from one position to another. His scale is as follows:
Catcher: +12.5 runs
Shortstop: +7.5 runs
Second Base: +2.5 runs
Third Base: +2.5 runs
Center Field: +2.5 runs
Left Field: -7.5 runs
Right Field: -7.5 runs
First Base: -12.5 runs
Designated Hitter: -17.5 runs
Essentially, the width of the spectrum of major league players being used at their best positions is about 30 runs – if you have a league average defensive catcher and you make him a full time DH, you’ve whacked about three wins off of his value.
These positional adjustments match up with common knowledge pretty well – catchers are scarce, shortstops are the best non-catcher defenders, and the immobile stiffs get hidden at DH/1B/LF/RF, depending on how just how immobile they really are. It’s the middle part of the spectrum – second base, third base, and center field – that cause some disagreement. We’ll get into those three positions specifically this afternoon.I believe the value of the second baseman was reduced during the years of the heavy use of the shift. I have to disagree with his expert evaluation simply because the 2B handles more plays and is the middle of the diamond…
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Post by inger on Jan 31, 2024 22:16:36 GMT -5
When Gleyber was traded to the Yankees, I predicted he would eventually become a second baseman. I was definitely in the minority on this opinion. His physique and heavy-legged type of movement were my main concerns. Moving to shortstop for the New York Yankees is not easy for anyone, even if it is their best defensive position. I did not want to see that move. As Martian mentioned, Gleyber's lack of quality defense at shortstop appeared to affect him mentally with the bat. Though we have no way to prove this empirically, I agree with the assessment. Trading Gleyber in his walk year will not bring much of a return. The time to have traded Gleyber was after 2020, when his clock still had many revolutions prior to free agency. Moreover, Gleyber is the third best offensive threat on this Yankee team. For a team that struggled to score runs last season, why trade him now when the addition of Soto just lengthened the lineup? Removing Gleyber's bat at this point will simply dilute the offensive gains made from acquiring Soto. At this point, the best defensive shortstop on the Yankees is Peraza, but he has not proven to be able to hit fastballs with consistency (the exact opposite of what young players are supposed to be able to do). To me, Volpe could be a gold glove second baseman, as well as one at shortstop, but he does not have the arm strength for third base. Peraza has a rifle for an arm that can play anywhere on the diamond. I am not sold on Gleyber's arm at third, but all scouting reports (thanks, Inger) indicate that his arm strength is above average. I agree with Bob that if Gleyber was confined to a position that required reaction and arm strength rather than focus and decision making, third might be able to fit Gleyber better as he ages. By the way, as someone who has played all around the diamond, third base was the easiest for me to play. Shortstop was the most fun, though. First base takes a ton of footwork to play it like Anthony Rizzo, much less like Keith Hernandez and Donny Mattingly - the two best at the position in my opinion. You can hide a player like Luke Voit at first, but he costs you lots of extra bases and base hits and steals...and forget about any continuity plays from a defender playing behind the runner. I wonder when the scouting reports came out on Gleyber's arm strength? The latest ratings they keep on baseball savant would seem to suggest it's very poor at this point in his career. Consider: baseballsavant.mlb.com/leaderboard/arm-strengthbaseballsavant.mlb.com/savant-player/gleyber-torres-650402?stats=statcast-r-fielding-mlbThey are looking only at the top 5% of throws by MPH, so they are measuring throws that are in situations where the fielder is going all-out, ie only close plays. Easy plays with casual lobs/flips are being excluded. Gleyber averages 75.9 MPH on his top throws and rates an 8 out of 100 in arm strength. If you compare him to all the other 3b, he would be the second worst in the league. There are a bunch of 3b who average close to 90 MPH and a few over that. It's a pretty huge difference to go from 75 to 90, just imagine any pitcher trying to make it in the majors throwing 75 MPH fastballs vs throwing 90+. This is quite interesting. Thanks for bringing to our attention. There’s a significant drop since 2020 of over 11 MPH… Coukd he have hurt his arm playing SS? ..
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Post by ypaterson on Jan 31, 2024 22:17:48 GMT -5
I spent a couple of hours floating around the internet trying to get a good idea of the value the SABR community assigns to each position. There are some variations, but I think it is fair to say that the value attahced to defense at 2b and 3b is very comparable. As pointed out at Fangraphs: (https://blogs.fangraphs.com/position-adjustments/) Tom Tango has developed the most commonly accepted set of positional adjustments out there right now, based on historical data of how players perform when they move from one position to another. His scale is as follows:
Catcher: +12.5 runs
Shortstop: +7.5 runs
Second Base: +2.5 runs
Third Base: +2.5 runs
Center Field: +2.5 runs
Left Field: -7.5 runs
Right Field: -7.5 runs
First Base: -12.5 runs
Designated Hitter: -17.5 runs
Essentially, the width of the spectrum of major league players being used at their best positions is about 30 runs – if you have a league average defensive catcher and you make him a full time DH, you’ve whacked about three wins off of his value.
These positional adjustments match up with common knowledge pretty well – catchers are scarce, shortstops are the best non-catcher defenders, and the immobile stiffs get hidden at DH/1B/LF/RF, depending on how just how immobile they really are. It’s the middle part of the spectrum – second base, third base, and center field – that cause some disagreement. We’ll get into those three positions specifically this afternoon.OK. And therefore...what? Therfore there is no reason to move Torres to get Peraza's glove at 2nd. If you want to improve the infield defense, move St. Anthony of Flemington to 3rd and play Peraza at SS.
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Post by ypaterson on Jan 31, 2024 22:19:48 GMT -5
I spent a couple of hours floating around the internet trying to get a good idea of the value the SABR community assigns to each position. There are some variations, but I think it is fair to say that the value attahced to defense at 2b and 3b is very comparable. As pointed out at Fangraphs: (https://blogs.fangraphs.com/position-adjustments/) Tom Tango has developed the most commonly accepted set of positional adjustments out there right now, based on historical data of how players perform when they move from one position to another. His scale is as follows:
Catcher: +12.5 runs
Shortstop: +7.5 runs
Second Base: +2.5 runs
Third Base: +2.5 runs
Center Field: +2.5 runs
Left Field: -7.5 runs
Right Field: -7.5 runs
First Base: -12.5 runs
Designated Hitter: -17.5 runs
Essentially, the width of the spectrum of major league players being used at their best positions is about 30 runs – if you have a league average defensive catcher and you make him a full time DH, you’ve whacked about three wins off of his value.
These positional adjustments match up with common knowledge pretty well – catchers are scarce, shortstops are the best non-catcher defenders, and the immobile stiffs get hidden at DH/1B/LF/RF, depending on how just how immobile they really are. It’s the middle part of the spectrum – second base, third base, and center field – that cause some disagreement. We’ll get into those three positions specifically this afternoon.I believe the value of the second baseman was reduced during the years of the heavy use of the shift. I have to disagree with his expert evaluation simply because the 2B handles more plays and is the middle of the diamond… You would think that is so... I did not finish with the league numbers but I can tell you that Torres and DJ fielded almost exactly the same number of galls per inning last year playing at 2nd and 3rd respectively.
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Post by azbob643 on Jan 31, 2024 22:25:54 GMT -5
Therfore there is no reason to move Torres to get Peraza's glove at 2nd. If you want to improve the infield defense, move St. Anthony of Flemington to 3rd and play Peraza at SS. I'm not moving Torres to get Peraza's glove at 2B. I'm moving Torres to keep his bat in the lineup. You gave only Peraza as the option to replace him at 2B. As I said, I don't care if it's Peraza or someone else from within the organization or acquired via trade or FA.
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Post by inger on Jan 31, 2024 22:39:28 GMT -5
Therfore there is no reason to move Torres to get Peraza's glove at 2nd. If you want to improve the infield defense, move St. Anthony of Flemington to 3rd and play Peraza at SS. I'm not moving Torres to get Peraza's glove at 2B. I'm moving Torres to keep his bat in the lineup. You gave only Peraza as the option to replace him at 2B. As I said, I don't care if it's Peraza or someone else from within the organization or acquired via trade or FA. Correct. Peraza hasn’t even earned a utility role for 2024 at this point…
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Post by ypaterson on Jan 31, 2024 22:47:12 GMT -5
Therfore there is no reason to move Torres to get Peraza's glove at 2nd. If you want to improve the infield defense, move St. Anthony of Flemington to 3rd and play Peraza at SS. I'm not moving Torres to get Peraza's glove at 2B. I'm moving Torres to keep his bat in the lineup. You gave only Peraza as the option to replace him at 2B. As I said, I don't care if it's Peraza or someone else from within the organization or acquired via trade or FA. Good enough. And IMO, as long as Torres hits he can play anywhere he is comfortable.
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Post by posadafan24 on Feb 1, 2024 0:18:43 GMT -5
I'm not moving Torres to get Peraza's glove at 2B. I'm moving Torres to keep his bat in the lineup. You gave only Peraza as the option to replace him at 2B. As I said, I don't care if it's Peraza or someone else from within the organization or acquired via trade or FA. Good enough. And IMO, as long as Torres hits he can play anywhere he is comfortable. Who says he is even comfortable at third when he has never played there before . There is a reason why they never tried torres at third .
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Post by ypaterson on Feb 1, 2024 9:51:42 GMT -5
Good enough. And IMO, as long as Torres hits he can play anywhere he is comfortable. Who says he is even comfortable at third when he has never played there before . There is a reason why they never tried torres at third . We don't know what his feelings are. Is he relucetant to leave a comfort zone ? HOF players in New York resisted postions changes : Derek Jeter and Mike Piazza. Niether of those guys was an elite defender, they were paid to hit. Torres is in that column. Thie '24 team is not going to be good on defense and the pitching is thin. There are going to be lots of 3 + games in the Bronx this year.
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