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Post by cocopugg on Oct 28, 2024 15:18:35 GMT -5
Trevino is in the Yankees starting lineup tonight. That move was probably influenced by the fact that with his injury in game 2, it's doubtful that Ohtani will be trying to steal again tonight. |
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Post by cocopugg on Oct 28, 2024 15:22:00 GMT -5
We win tonight because a buddy bought me an ugly Johnny-O Yankee hoodie for my B-day back in July. I've yet to wear it, but despite the fact it is pretty ugly, I will pull it out tonight because I believe it might be lucky.  Attachments:
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Post by Max on Oct 28, 2024 15:25:56 GMT -5
I'm going to criticize this move in advance because then we know it will work out later.
Seriously, I don't like this at all.  Since the Yankees have the short porch and facing a righty, I think Wells should be in the lineup. But I hope I'm wrong and that Trevino has a great game. |
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Post by kaybli on Oct 28, 2024 16:00:02 GMT -5
We win tonight because a buddy bought me an ugly Johnny-O Yankee hoodie for my B-day back in July. I've yet to wear it, but despite the fact it is pretty ugly, I will pull it out tonight because I believe it might be lucky. 😂 Well if they win tonight we know what we’re going to force you to wear the rest of the game days! |
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Post by inger on Oct 28, 2024 16:01:57 GMT -5
I guess Hulu can be proud of themselves. They switched their 7-day free trial to 3 days, so I’m still listening instead of watching tonight. Bass turds…they raised their price to 82.95, too. Cram it, Hulu… You can watch the game here, just tune in about a half hour before game time: World Series Game 3 - Live!I’ll try it! … |
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Post by cocopugg on Oct 28, 2024 16:05:40 GMT -5
I'm going to criticize this move in advance because then we know it will work out later.
Seriously, I don't like this at all. Since the Yankees have the short porch and facing a righty, I think Wells should be in the lineup. But I hope I'm wrong and that Trevino has a great game. Maybe Boone sees this move as a solid power hitting option, to bring in Wells as a PH late in the game. |
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Post by Lola on Oct 28, 2024 16:19:09 GMT -5
The very definition of a "must win." We're not coming back from a 3-0 deficit. Maybe Boone can show highlights of the 2004 ALCS again for inspiration like he did in 2022.  They can watch it on Netflix...coincidentally it was released last week. Needless to say... I won't be watching! |
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Post by chiyankee on Oct 28, 2024 16:19:27 GMT -5
Since the Yankees have the short porch and facing a righty, I think Wells should be in the lineup. But I hope I'm wrong and that Trevino has a great game. Maybe Boone sees this move as a solid power hitting option, to bring in Wells as a PH late in the game. I think Boone is grasping for straws, replacing one guy that hasn't hit in a month for a guy that hasn't hit since May. |
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Post by Lola on Oct 28, 2024 16:20:18 GMT -5
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Post by Lola on Oct 28, 2024 16:57:07 GMT -5
Maybe Boone sees this move as a solid power hitting option, to bring in Wells as a PH late in the game. I think Boone is grasping for straws, replacing one guy that hasn't hit in a month for a guy that hasn't hit since May. Boonie doesn't seem to have the same instincts that Torre had it making these kind of moves. Torre had The Midas touch... Boone is probably more analytics driven than gut! |
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Post by JEGnj on Oct 28, 2024 17:06:39 GMT -5
I think Boone is grasping for straws, replacing one guy that hasn't hit in a month for a guy that hasn't hit since May. Boonie doesn't seem to have the same instincts that Torre had it making these kind of moves. Torre had The Midas touch... Boone is probably more analytics driven than gut! Torre did a lot of great things for the Yankees and he managed the egos but never forget he did spend the last few years asleep on the bench.
Boone is making some bad decisions in the WS but Trashman gave him this team.
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Post by Lola on Oct 28, 2024 17:36:55 GMT -5
Boonie doesn't seem to have the same instincts that Torre had it making these kind of moves. Torre had The Midas touch... Boone is probably more analytics driven than gut! Torre did a lot of great things for the Yankees and he managed the egos but never forget he did spend the last few years asleep on the bench.
Boone is making some bad decisions in the WS but Trashman gave him this team.
I was a huge Torre fan… I rarely criticize or blame Boone…. And I would never call the gm a childish name. I would actually like to thank him and The Steinbrenners for giving us another contending team. LETS GO YANKEES |
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Post by qwik3457bb on Oct 28, 2024 17:41:21 GMT -5
The Dodgers try to gain a 3-0 stranglehold on the World Series by sending former ace and current TJ surgery recoveree Walker Buehler to the mound. Buehler wasn’t activated by the Dodgers until after the series at the Stadium in June, so a personal baseball history is in order.
Buehler was taken with the 24th pick of the 1st round in 2015’s June Amateur Draft, but the team learned that he would need immediate Tommy John surgery, and he missed the rest of 2015 and almost of 2016; the Dodgers let him make 3 very short starts (total innings: 5) at Rookie and A-ball that year. In spite of that near-total lack of professional innings, both MLB Pipeline and Baseball Prospectus had Buehler near the bottom of their top 100 prospect lists before the 2017 season. That season, he rocketed through 4 levels of the organization, starting with 5 excellent but brief starts at high-A. The team moved him to AA, extending his innings per start in 11 pretty good starts at AA, striking out 64 and walking 15 in 49 innings. They promoted Buehler to AAA, and after 3 starts at AAA, they transitioned him to the pen to see if he could help the major league team in that role down the stretch and in the post-season. His ERA wasn’t great, but he did strike out a lot of batters, 19 in 13 1/3, so they called him up for a major-league trial in September. He pitched poorly in the role, 1-0, 7.71 ERA, 11 hits, 2 HR and 8 BB in 8 games in 9 1/3 innings, so LA left Buehler off the post-season roster. Entering the 2018 season, Buehler was in the top 25 of all three major prospect list, this time including Baseball America, which placed him at #13.
He opened 2018 with 3 good starts at AAA, and the Dodgers called him for good. He went 4-2 in 10 starts with a 3.44 ERA, and the Dodgers sent him back to A-ball for a start to keep him active through the All-Star break. They then recalled him and he was brilliant in 14 starts: 14-3 with a 2.16 ERA in 84 innings. He would up 8-5 with a 2.63 ERA and finished 3rd in the NL Rookie of the Year voting. This time, he was in the rotation for the postseason, and got hit hard in his one NLDS start against the Braves. The Dodgers went on to the NLCS, and he pitched a so-so game and took the loss in game 3 against the Brewers, but can back in game 7 to give LA 4 2/3 innings, allowing just 1 run, leaving with a 2-1 lead. The Dodgers won and went on to the World Series against Boston. Except for Buehler’s game 3 start, the Red Sox rolled right over the Dodgers in 5 games for the title, but won game 3 in 18 innings on Muncy’s walk-off HR vs. Eovaldi. Buehler was in line for the win when he left, leading 1-0, have struck out 7 and given up just 2 hits and no walks in 7 innings.
2019 was Buehler’s breakout season: 14-4 with a 3.26 ERA, 215 K’s and just 37 BB in 182 1/3 innings, making the All-Star team, and finishing 9th in the Cy Young voting. In the 2019 NLDS against the Nationals, Buehler did just about everything he could, pitching outstanding ball in both game 1 (6 shutout innings for a win) and game 5 (1 earned run in 6 2/3 inning; he left with a 3-1 lead, but the Nats got 2 in the 8th and 4 in the 10th to win the game and the series). In the COVID season of 2020, he was on the roster the whole shortened season, but made just 8 starts because of being put on the IL briefly with a blister problem. Otherwise, he pitched reasonably well, but got almost no decisions, going 1-0 with a 3.44 ERA in 36 2/3 innings. He started the Wild Card game and gave the Brewers 2 runs in 4 innings, but that was all Milwaukee would get; the Dodgers won 4-2. He made another good 4 inning start against the Padres in the NLDS, with the Dodgers winning, 5-1. In the NLCS, he started both game 1 and game 6 against the Braves, getting a no-decision in the first game despite allowing just 1 run in 5 innings, and throwing 6 shutout innings for a win in the elimination game, keeping the Dodgers alive for game 7, which they won to play the Rays in the Series. In game 3 of that World Series, he pitched 6 innings of 3 hit ball, allowing just 1 run and striking out 10. His scheduled game 7 start turned out not to be needed as the Dodgers won games 5 and 6 to win the only title they’ve won under Dave Roberts. So far.
Walker had another elite season in 2021, going 16-4 with a 2.47 ERA, leading all of MLB with 33 starts, finishing 3rd in all of MLB in ERA, making the All-Star team again and finishing 4th (!!) in the Cy Young Voting behind Corbin Burnes, Zack Wheeler and Max Scherzer. He opened the 2021 NLDS against the Giants, but pitched a mediocre game giving up 3 in 6 1/3 and taking a 4-0 loss. He came back in game 4 and pitched well, giving up just 1 run, but got a no-decision because he couldn’t finish 5 innings; the Dodgers won anyway, 7-2. He was knocked out in the 4th inning of game 3 of the NLCS against the Braves, giving up 4 runs (2 earned) in 3 2/3 innings; the Dodgers rallying to win, 6-5. He again pitched poorly in game 6, giving up 4 in 4 innings, and the Dodgers lost 4-2, ending their season. He got off to another great start in 2022, and on May 8th, Buehler was 4-1 with a 1.96 ERA, but his season fell apart due to injury: he went 2-2 with a 6.67 ERA in his last 6 starts, and was put on the IL in mid-June with what was them called forearm inflammation. A week later, he had a bone spur removed from his pitching elbow, but in trying to rehab from the inflammation and spur surgery in late July, it was discovered that he needed to undergo a 2nd Tommy John procedure. He missed the rest of 2022 and almost all of 2023; Buehler made one two-inning rehab appearance at AAA, and the Dodgers decided to just shut him down and hope he could start 2024 healthy and with the major league team.
It didn’t happen. He opened the season rehabbing at AAA, and the Dodgers took extra time and patience with him because they felt they had the rotation well-covered without him. Oops. They called him up in early May, and he seemed to be making progress with 6 shutout innings in his 3rd start back, he struggled from there, and after getting blasted for 7 runs in 3 innings at Coors Field, they put Buehler back on the IL with a hip injury. He started rehab again in late July, and after 3 starts in AAA, the Dodgers called him back to the majors, but he pitched poorly in 10 starts down the stretch, going 0-3 with a 5.13 ERA, allowing 53 hits and 21 BB in 47 1/3 innings. On the season, Buehler was 1-6 with an ERA of 5.38 in 16 starts, throwing 75 1/ 3 innings, allowing 89 hits, 52 runs, 45 earned, 16 HR, and 28 BB with 64 K’s. His WHIP for the season was a brutal 1.553. The Padres pounded him early in his first postseason start, getting to him for 6 runs in the 2nd inning of game 3 of the NLDS, but he stayed in there for three more innings, allowing just one hit and one walk before leaving. The Dodgers tried to rally but fell short, 6-5. In game 3 of the NLCS against the Mets, Buehler looked as good as he’s been since coming off the IL after the 2nd TJ surgery. 4 shutout innings, allowing 3 hits and 2 BB, striking out 6. He got a no-decision in the Dodgers’ 8-0 win that gave them a 2-1 lead in the series. Don’t look now, but in his last 7 playoff innings, Buehler hasn’t been scored on, giving up just 4 hits and 3 BB, striking out 6.
It seems very unlikely, but it is nevertheless true that in 7 major league season, 131 games and 122 starts, Buehler has never started against the Yankees before tonight. In the post-season as a whole, Buehler has an excellent record: he’s 3-4, but with a 3.25 ERA. In 17 starts, he’s thrown 88 2/3 innings, allowing 71 hits, 34 runs, 32 earned, 9 HR, and 34 BB with 107 K’s. Despite the elevated walk rate, his WHIP is a very good 1.184. Tonight is his 3rd World Series start. The other two were against the Rays in 2020, and as mentioned above, he was brilliant in both: 13 innings, 5 hits, 1 earned run, 0 HR, just 1 BB and 17 K’s. His WHIP in the two games is a microscopic 0.462. Not great.
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Post by qwik3457bb on Oct 28, 2024 17:47:27 GMT -5
Repertoire: I’ll give the regular season repertoire, then focus on the what he’s done in his two playoff starts.
Buehler threw 7 different pitches during the season: a 4-seamer averaging 95 about 29% of the time, more to lefties than righties; cutter 91 about 21% of the time (again more to lefties than righties); knuckle curve 78 about 19% of the time (overwhelmingly more often to lefties by a 4-1 ratio); sinker averaging 94 about 16% (overwhelmingly to righties by a 5 to 1 ratio); sweeper 82-3 about 8% (and all 110 of them were thrown to righties); change 90 about 5% of the time (and all but 1 of 69 changeups were thrown to lefties, and 17 sliders at about 85, all but 1 against righties. It seems he has a different assortment vs. lefties than vs. righties. Against righties, it’s 4-samer, cutter and curve, with the change as the 4th pitch and an occasional sinker. Against lefties, it’s 4-seamer, sinker, sweeper, cutter with occasional curves and very occasional sliders. The outliers in his break patterns: elite drop on the curve, very below average drop on the sinker and change, well belove average run on the FB, below average tail on the change and sinker, elite break in on lefties on the cutter. In run values, the cutter was his only plus pitch, the 4-seam, curve, sinker and were noticeable minuses, the sweeper was a solid plus, and the change was a huge minus per pitch, which is why he throws it just 5% of the time. His few sliders were terrible per pitch; -3 runs on just 17 of them. The FB velo has dropped from elite early in his career to above average. The spin on both the FB and curve are both now near average as is his extension.
His average exit velocity was MLB average, the barrel rate an inch below average, and the hard-hit rate was also below average. His line drive rate was very low, the ground ball rate high, and the flyball and popup rates were below average. His swinging strike rate was way down from past years and well below average, the called strike rate was good, so his CSW was below average, but not by a ton. In luck factors, the BABIP was quite high (.316), the strand rate below average and the HR/FB rate was above average. All three factors working against Buehler, it’s not surprising that his ERA estimators think his ERA should have been just under 5.00 rather than 5.38.
In the start in the NLDS against the Padres, he used all 7 pitches, throwing 77 total. 33 were four-seamers, averaging 95. 23 cutters, 11 curves, 6 sweepers, 4 sinkers, 3 changeups, and 2 sliders. He threw the sliders harder than average, but the sweepers were 2 mph slower. The spin rate was down a bit on the cutter and curve, but up on the sinker and changes. He got more drop and more side break on the sweeper; the movement on his other pitches didn’t change much. His exit velocity was very good, just 86.5 despite the fact that the Padres got a HR a double and 3 singles in the 2nd inning. He got 8 whiffs and 13 called strikes for a CSW of 27 %.
In the start against the Mets in the NLCS, he ditched the slider and the change, but mixed the other pitches 5 much more evenly: 24 four-seamers averaging 93.8, 21 sweepers at 81, 16 curves at 78, 16 cutters at 91, and 13 sinkers averaging 94. The velocity on all five pitches was down from his seasonal average, the cutter and sinker by ½ mph, and the 4-seam and sweeper by 1 to 1.5 mph. The spin rate on all of his pitch was up a bit, except for the curve which was considerably lower. It seems he traded velocity for spin and break as he got better drop on the sweeper, curve and cutter, but less rise on the FB, and he got much more break on the sweeper, and more tail on the sinker. The exit velocity was very good again, just 86.1 He got 18 whiffs in 90 pitches and 17 called strikes, and his CSW was an electric 39%. Not great.
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