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Post by kaybli on Sept 21, 2019 21:50:31 GMT -5
Can't wait for those playoff scouting reports!  |
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Post by inger on Sept 21, 2019 23:36:01 GMT -5
It’s leaf peeping time out here. We’ll probably be driving to the mountains a couple of times in the next to three weeks. Just day trips, but between taking in the breath-taking beauty of this part of the country and work... Got some potentially exciting projects I’m working on...
You know I’ll do my best...
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Post by inger on Sept 23, 2019 21:35:06 GMT -5
9/24/2019 vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Brendan McKay was scheduled to start, but latest reports say he has been pulled from that start. There will be no report for this game. Such is the last week of the regular season...
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Post by inger on Sept 24, 2019 23:00:58 GMT -5
7/18/19 vs. Tampa / Charlie Morton The 36 year old right hander is one of the most amazing late-bloomers in the history of the game. From 2008-16 he posted up at 46-71 with a career ERA of 4.59. Since, he’s gone 38-12; 3.10. His primary pitch is a knuckle curve that he throws 36% of the time. It comes in at 79 MPH with a sweeping motion accompanied by downward bite that induces swing and miss action along with ground balls. He features two fast balls. The 4-seamer at 95 MPH is swing and miss material with a tail cutting away from RHH. When contact is made it is often in the air. The cut fastball comes in a 94 MPH and is another swing and miss offering that will induce groundballs. He throws a so-so slider about 10% of the time. It does hang sometimes and leaves the park often when it does. The splitter and curve are seldom seen and not exceptional. Morton is extremely good at making RHH make weak contact and is hard to hit for all batters. Seven of the eight HR he has served up this season have been to LHH, but making contact to begin with is problematic. Like many good pitchers, the window to attack Morton closes a bit early. He can be hit in the first three innings, after which he gets stronger. He is usually pulled by pitch # 100 or so... Bump: Someday, Charlie Morton will have a bad game. AL ERA leader owned us on 7/7. Got to get to him early... Bumping Charlie Morton: The last time we saw him was on July 18th. He came to town that day with an 11-2; 2.35 ERA. We popped him good for 5 runs in 5.1 innings that day and since then he’s gone 4-3; 4.20. He’s still good. But he’s not owning the league like he did earlier this season. Overall he’s 15-6; 3.15. He’s still fanned 79 in his last 64 innings, and has kept the ball in the park with only 6 HR allowed in his 11 starts since that day in July... |
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Post by inger on Sept 26, 2019 23:35:12 GMT -5
9/27/2019 vs. Texas Rangers / Joe Palumbo 6’1”; 168 / 0-2; 9.22
The 24 year old LH is still raw, though he’s bounced around between starting and relieving as he’s climbed the ranks. He has a slender but athletic frame, with an odd sort of side saddle start to a short windup that sees him gather tall over the rubber and deliver from a 3/4 arm slot with dynamic arm speed. He had TJ in April of ‘17 and is just now getting back to full strength.
FB, 92-96 with better strike-throwing ability than command. Lots of pitches tend to find the middle of the plate.
Curve, 77-80 high spin pitch with sharp bite is MLB. quality with out of zone swing and miss ability that flirts when at it’s best.
Change up, 84-88 is often too firm. When at it’s best it will sometimes show some late dive. This pitch will likely decide whether or not Paumbo becomes a 4-5 starter, an opener, or a bullpen piece.
He also most improve command with that FB and be able to move it around and hit the edges at will. Probably should still be in AAA getting his strength and command together, but at 24 I suppose the Rangers felt they needed a peek in September. It also gives him more innings, if it doesn’t do much for his confidence.
It would be surprising if he made it through the line up twice...
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Post by rizzuto on Sept 27, 2019 0:53:48 GMT -5
Palumbo was one of my all time favorite shows!
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Post by inger on Sept 27, 2019 9:10:32 GMT -5
Palumbo was one of my all time favorite shows! I wonder if they’ll let him wear his trench coat while he’s pitching? I have a feeling he may set a record for balks...Imagine the conversations with the catcher: “I was wondering. You know, you called for a curve ball there. It seemed a little odd to me because the last time up, this guy was all over the curve ball. But then I thought, you’re right! The last thing this guy was going to expect was another curve ball after he creamed the last one I threw him, right? You’re pretty good at this. I mean you may go to the Hall of Fame. Who am I? Just a rookie. Nobody’s remembering me anyhow”... |
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Post by inger on Sept 27, 2019 9:12:24 GMT -5
“Oh, wait. Before you go. I was thinking. What if I stick this pitch in his ear? Maybe I can get some respect outta him. Back him off the plate and then throw the curve ball”?...
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Post by inger on Sept 27, 2019 9:27:17 GMT -5
Just wondering. Who solves the most crimes? Columbo vs. Monk?...
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Post by inger on Sept 29, 2019 14:17:36 GMT -5
12/4/19 vs. Texas Rangers / Lance Lynn 14-9; 3.77 Big-bodied 6’5”. 280 pound 32 year old right hander has won at least ten games in each of his seven full MLB seasons. He stumbled in NY last season, but a few tweaks have turned him back into a star pitcher who delivers a lot of consistent performances and eats innings. He’s changed arm slots, which in turn has greatly improved movement on his cutter. He’s made adjustments on his pitch mix, and will adjust by opponent and what he has working best in warm ups. He leads the AL in batters faced pitching, going at least 100 pitches into his starts for the past 19 consecutive starts, and 26/28 total this season. He’s pitched 7 or more innings 13 times in 2019, and has thrown 120 pitches in a game twice. In todays’ environment that certainly says “workhorse” all over it. He’s been 9-1 at home and 5-8 on the road despite splits that day he’s equal to pitching anywhere. Right handlers often get a day off against Lynn, who is holding them to a split of .218/.267/.368. Batters attacking the first pitch do not fare well at .205/.240/.306. He has already eclipsed 200 Ks for this season. His 3.77 ERA is a bit deceptive. His FIP is 3.00. Until very recently he had not allowed an unearned run this season, which is a bit unusual, and probably more a product of official scorers than reality. He starts games off at times with a bit of a command/control issue, but once he settles in those problems go away and he has some of the best control in MLB. Home runs tend to be allowed early and late in games. In mid game he has completely stopped the long ball game this season. He stays strong throughout his starts, albeit with those early and late HRs allowed at times. Watch for downward movement on his pitches, as there will be plenty of that. Despite the downward movement, his mistakes get hit in the air, and he has a slight fly ball tendency. He challenges hitters. 4S fast ball, 95. Swing and miss pitch with a bit of sink. 45-60% of mix. Sinker, 93. Heavy sink, ground balls and more whiffs than most sinkers. 15-20% of mix. Cutter, 89. Extra heavy sink and a strong cut for weak contact. 10-20%. Has been using more, reducing use of true sinker. Curve, 81. 10% usage, 12-6 with swing and miss. Sometimes elevated. Change up is only used 2% of the time.Has only a bit of sink and is a fly ball pitch. Lynn probably won’t get as much attention in this year’s Cy Young voting as he deserves. He’s continued to pitch well since his once 12-4 record has nose-dived due to a recent 2-5 stretch that featured a couple of rare stinkers, but has been solid overall during that stretch. He’s going to be tough, and the only way he’s departing early is if we can get his pitch count up to 110 or so. It does sometimes happen, in fact it has in a few of his recent starts. I’m wondering if the innings are adding up a bit for him this year... Nice job, Inger!  Bump: 1-2; 3.26 since we saw saw him on 09/04... |
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Post by inger on Oct 3, 2019 17:42:43 GMT -5
ALDS Game one / 10/04/2019 / 14-8; 3.68 / age 25/ 6’0, 205
Berrios is a smallish pitcher, but is both physically strong and athletic. Long heralded as a future Cy Young Award type, he looked like he had a chance his first 16 starts this season. He had posted up a mark of 8-3 at that point with an ERA of 2.84 on the strength of some off season changes. But it appeared the league caught up to the changes as June moved into July and August. He was hit very hard in July. He recovered somewhat as August unfolded. Though he remained inconsistent through to the end of the regular season.
His velocities all remained solid throughout. Here’s what appears to be what happened, at least in theory. Berrios’ weakness in the past has been that he struggled with LHH. He and his coaches decided that his out pitch vs. lefties was the problem. He was throwing the pitch down and away, missing the strike zone so often that the LHH were not offering at it. Now, he’s found the strike zone with the pitch much more often, meaning the LHH can no longer assume it will be out of the strike zone. He’s become a more effective pitcher vs. left-handers this season because of that change.
Being human, it’s easy to then make the assumption that since that worked vs. lefties, maybe I should also throw my curve ball so that it’s over the plate more often to RHH. That’s what he’s done, reducing his walk rate all the way around, but... While he was only throwing the curve in the zone 37% of the time in 2018, he was also getting a chase rate of 37% on the pitches that missed the zone! It appears the change was one that was not necessary at the time. Perhaps it could be a change he would need in the future, he seems to have adjusted to something that had not yet become a problem. In any event, RHH have hit Berrios better this season, to the point that his splits are now almost as even as they can get.
The morale of the story is that we’re fortunate that most Yankee batters are smart and patient hitters. They’ll need to watch for those curves and change ups, make sure they’re on the zone. They’re both more effective because Berrios tempts hitters to swing at them on the margins.
Because Berrios likes to get ahead in the count he has a strong first pitch fastball tendency, and he has been hittable when hitters decide to attack that first pitch. He has respectable ability to control the long ball, but is most susceptible to allowing them in the first two innings, when he tends to be the most aggressive with the fast ball, and then the HR tendency tends to return around the sixth inning, when his pitch count begins to elevate into the 80’s to 100.
He has not enjoyed much success against the Yankees, whom he did not face in 2019. His career mark of 1-2, 5.79 includes 0-2; 9.79 in Yankee Stadium. Encarnacion, Didi, and Sanchez have each notched on career HR off Berrios who has only but seldom allowed more than one HR in his starts.
Pitches in order of tendency to use:
FB, 93. Average velo. Moves it around well. Some swing and miss. Fly balls result often.
Curve, 82. There is a hard sweeping motion, but almost no depth. Gets a lot of fly ball outs. Tries to get swings vs. RHH as it leaves the strike zone away.
Sinker, 92. Some slight arm side run and a bit of sink. No real tendency to air or ground contact.
Change. 83. Dives out of zone, where he hopes to tempt batters to swing. Also has a bit of arm side run. Will sometimes hit RHH with this down at shins and feet when it gets away...
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Post by kaybli on Oct 3, 2019 17:46:40 GMT -5
ALDS Game one / 10/04/2019 / 14-8; 3.68 / age 25/ 6’0, 205 Berrios is a smallish pitcher, but is both physically strong and athletic. Long heralded as a future Cy Young Award type, he looked like he had a chance his first 16 starts this season. He had posted up a mark of 8-3 at that point with an ERA of 2.84 on the strength of some off season changes. But it appeared the league caught up to the changes as June moved into July and August. He was hit very hard in July. He recovered somewhat as August unfolded. Though he remained inconsistent through to the end of the regular season. His velocities all remained solid throughout. Here’s what appears to be what happened, at least in theory. Berrios’ weakness in the past has been that he struggled with LHH. He and his coaches decided that his out pitch vs. lefties was the problem. He was throwing the pitch down and away, missing the strike zone so often that the LHH were not offering at it. Now, he’s found the strike zone with the pitch much more often, meaning the LHH can no longer assume it will be out of the strike zone. He’s become a more effective pitcher vs. left-handers this season because of that change. Being human, it’s easy to then make the assumption that since that worked vs. lefties, maybe I should also throw my curve ball so that it’s over the plate more often to RHH. That’s what he’s done, reducing his walk rate all the way around, but... While he was only throwing the curve in the zone 37% of the time in 2018, he was also getting a chase rate of 37% on the pitches that missed the zone! It appears the change was one that was not necessary at the time. Perhaps it could be a change he would need in the future, he seems to have adjusted to something that had not yet become a problem. In any event, RHH have hit Berrios better this season, to the point that his splits are now almost as even as they can get. The morale of the story is that we’re fortunate that most Yankee batters are smart and patient hitters. They’ll need to watch for those curves and change ups, make sure they’re on the zone. They’re both more effective because Berrios tempts hitters to swing at them on the margins. Because Berrios likes to get ahead in the count he has a strong first pitch fastball tendency, and he has been hittable when hitters decide to attack that first pitch. He has respectable ability to control the long ball, but is most susceptible to allowing them in the first two innings, when he tends to be the most aggressive with the fast ball, and then the HR tendency tends to return around the sixth inning, when his pitch count begins to elevate into the 80’s to 100. He has not enjoyed much success against the Yankees, whom he did not face in 2019. His career mark of 1-2, 5.79 includes 0-2; 9.79 in Yankee Stadium. Encarnacion, Didi, and Sanchez have each notched on career HR off Berrios who has only but seldom allowed more than one HR in his starts. Will be back with his pitch stats shortly* Watch for the edit... Great information! Here are how our batters have faced against him:
Edwin Encarnacion: .222 BA (4-for-18), 1 HR, 3 RBI, 5 K
Brett Gardner: .444 BA (4-for-9), 1 2B, 3 RBI, 1 BB, 1 K
Didi Gregorius: .500 BA (3-for-6), 1 2B, 1 HR, 3 RBI, 2 BB, 1 K
Aaron Judge: .600 BA (3-for-5), 1 2B, 1 K
DJ LeMahieu: .000 BA (0-for-3), 1 K
Cameron Maybin: .000 BA (0-for-0), 1 BB
Austin Romine: .000 BA (0-for-1), 1 BB
Gary Sanchez: .143 (1-for-7), 1 HR, 1 RBI, 3 K
Giancarlo Stanton: .000 BA (0-for-2), 2 K
Gleyber Torres: .500 BA (1-for-2), 1 RBI
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Post by inger on Oct 3, 2019 17:57:17 GMT -5
ALDS Game one / 10/04/2019 / 14-8; 3.68 / age 25/ 6’0, 205 Berrios is a smallish pitcher, but is both physically strong and athletic. Long heralded as a future Cy Young Award type, he looked like he had a chance his first 16 starts this season. He had posted up a mark of 8-3 at that point with an ERA of 2.84 on the strength of some off season changes. But it appeared the league caught up to the changes as June moved into July and August. He was hit very hard in July. He recovered somewhat as August unfolded. Though he remained inconsistent through to the end of the regular season. His velocities all remained solid throughout. Here’s what appears to be what happened, at least in theory. Berrios’ weakness in the past has been that he struggled with LHH. He and his coaches decided that his out pitch vs. lefties was the problem. He was throwing the pitch down and away, missing the strike zone so often that the LHH were not offering at it. Now, he’s found the strike zone with the pitch much more often, meaning the LHH can no longer assume it will be out of the strike zone. He’s become a more effective pitcher vs. left-handers this season because of that change. Being human, it’s easy to then make the assumption that since that worked vs. lefties, maybe I should also throw my curve ball so that it’s over the plate more often to RHH. That’s what he’s done, reducing his walk rate all the way around, but... While he was only throwing the curve in the zone 37% of the time in 2018, he was also getting a chase rate of 37% on the pitches that missed the zone! It appears the change was one that was not necessary at the time. Perhaps it could be a change he would need in the future, he seems to have adjusted to something that had not yet become a problem. In any event, RHH have hit Berrios better this season, to the point that his splits are now almost as even as they can get. The morale of the story is that we’re fortunate that most Yankee batters are smart and patient hitters. They’ll need to watch for those curves and change ups, make sure they’re on the zone. They’re both more effective because Berrios tempts hitters to swing at them on the margins. Because Berrios likes to get ahead in the count he has a strong first pitch fastball tendency, and he has been hittable when hitters decide to attack that first pitch. He has respectable ability to control the long ball, but is most susceptible to allowing them in the first two innings, when he tends to be the most aggressive with the fast ball, and then the HR tendency tends to return around the sixth inning, when his pitch count begins to elevate into the 80’s to 100. He has not enjoyed much success against the Yankees, whom he did not face in 2019. His career mark of 1-2, 5.79 includes 0-2; 9.79 in Yankee Stadium. Encarnacion, Didi, and Sanchez have each notched on career HR off Berrios who has only but seldom allowed more than one HR in his starts. Will be back with his pitch stats shortly* Watch for the edit... Great information! Here are how our batters have faced against him:
Edwin Encarnacion: .222 BA (4-for-18), 1 HR, 3 RBI, 5 K
Brett Gardner: .444 BA (4-for-9), 1 2B, 3 RBI, 1 BB, 1 K
Didi Gregorius: .500 BA (3-for-6), 1 2B, 1 HR, 3 RBI, 2 BB, 1 K
Aaron Judge: .600 BA (3-for-5), 1 2B, 1 K
DJ LeMahieu: .000 BA (0-for-3), 1 K
Cameron Maybin: .000 BA (0-for-0), 1 BB
Austin Romine: .000 BA (0-for-1), 1 BB
Gary Sanchez: .143 (1-for-7), 1 HR, 1 RBI, 3 K
Giancarlo Stanton: .000 BA (0-for-2), 2 K
Gleyber Torres: .500 BA (1-for-2), 1 RBI
Great tack on to the pitching report, kaybli! Come back often!... |
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Post by inger on Oct 3, 2019 23:16:54 GMT -5
7/24 vs. Minnesota Twins / Jake Odorizzi 11-4; 3.18 Odorizzi is 29 years old and has had an up and down career. He put in a lot of work this past winter and his newfound success seems to be based on having added an extra mile per hour or so to his still-below-average velocity fastball. He uses the fastball 57% of the time, though he also is said to have a nearly imperceptibly different “sinker” that is part of that mix. It comes in at 92-93, sometimes 90-91 (is that the sinker?). Both(?) get swings and misses due to placement and movement. Different sources report this pitch different ways. This pitch(es?) is worked up in the zone. There is a cutter that is only 86 MPH and is the only pitch in the arsenal that tends to result in ground balls. It’s offered 20% of the time, often when looking for a DP. He throws a relatively ineffective splitter about 15% of the time that unlike other splitters tends to get flyballs. It acts somewhat more like a changeup to hitters, but the swings and misses are rare. Finally, The is a greatly reduced usage curveball with sharp downward bite. Again, this gets hit in the air more often than not. There used to be reports of a nasty slider that was hard to control. Like the sinker, it may still be in the repertoire and being mis-identified as a sinker or splitter or curve or...get it?... His stuff is murderous on RHH. Best to get some lefty bats in the lineup tonight. He tends to scuffle a bit in the first inning, with a 1.51 WHIP. His command is off until he finds his rhythm. He then tends to remain difficult to get on base against until about the sixth inning. Is the “new” Odorizzi for real? Tonight may be interesting in that Jake has been knocked around to a 6+ ERA in his last six starts. Has the league figured out what made him so successful earlier this year? His once 1.94 ERA is still nice at 3.18, but his recent lack of success hints regression to the mean... [ Bump... Since the last time the Yanks faced Odorizzi he has righted the ship and finished the season strongly. He ended the year at 15-7; 3.51 by pitching to an ERA of about 3.00 for the last two months... |
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Post by inger on Oct 3, 2019 23:46:32 GMT -5
ALDS/ vs. Minnesota Twins / Rodney Dobnak, 2-1; 1.59 / 6’ 230 RH 24 years old
Could Dobnak be a surprise starter? Kyle Gibson, nor Martin Perez strike fear in anyone. Dobnak was an undrafted free agent a couple years ago, pulled out of an Indy League where he’s surprised with a 2.02 ERA at three MiLB levels.
I can’t give a lot of detail, but he’s been hit for a .321 BA by RHH, but has dominated LHH. Only 5 of the 34 hits he’s allowed have gone for extra bases, and he throws strikes.
1seam fastball, touches 96. Yes. One seam. It sinks. A lot.
Sinker, touches 90 it sinks.
Slider. Mid 80’s. It dives.
All of the pitches are getting extreme ground ball results.I would think one of the deciding factors as to how good this guy can get is going to be if he’s really throwing strikes, or has batters chasing.
I’m not sure if this report is complete or not. I usually finish reading everything I can find before making these posts, but this was an interesting find. I wanted to make sure I posted it before he suddenly appeared in game one and I hadn’t broken the story. I’m getting like the real press...😂
Is he for real? His first appearance was a 3 inning relief job. He then went to opening. His last three appearances were all legitimate starts in which he went 5-6 innings and had a 1.10 ERA.
Whether he starts, relieves, or opens, he’s interesting. Chubby at 6’0, 230. He doesn’t have much experience, so 4 of 5 have stolen on him...So far only one batter has hit a home run...
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